Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: Barendrecht vs Quick Boys

Team pages: Barendrecht · Quick Boys

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Barendrecht1.21

Quick Boys1.99

1X2

23% 22% 55%

Barendrecht Draw Quick Boys

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Barendrecht 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDDWWLWW

Quick Boys 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWDW

Head-to-head

Barendrecht 1–3 Quick Boys (4 last)

Quick Boys1-3Barendrecht
Barendrecht0-6Quick Boys
Barendrecht0-2Quick Boys
Quick Boys4-0Barendrecht

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barendrecht 1578 · Quick Boys 1583

	Barendrecht	Draw	Quick Boys
Our model	22%	24%	54%
Market	23%	21%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Quick Boys: 3-0-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Barendrecht	Quick Boys
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	2.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.8	2.5 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.4	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.90

X4.20

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.80

2 (-1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 20:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 3.90▼	Pinn 4.09 ★
X	4.75 → 4.20▼	Bet365 4.20
2	1.42 → 1.61▲	Pinn 1.65

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:21 +2’	5.00	4.75	1.42
01:09 +13’	4.50▼	4.50▼	1.48▲
15:58 +3’	4.50	4.50	1.50▲
20:29 +13’	3.90▼	4.20▼	1.61▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:32 +29’	4.09	4.06	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Barendrecht 1–0–3 Quick Boys

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	1-3 HT 1-2	Barendrecht
30/08/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Barendrecht	0-6 HT 0-2	Quick Boys
19/04/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Barendrecht	0-2 HT 0-1	Quick Boys
16/11/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Quick Boys	4-0 HT 2-0	Barendrecht

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	11	9	1	1	32	8	28
2	De Treffers	11	6	4	1	30	14	22
3	IJsselmeervogels	11	7	1	3	16	10	22
4	Kozakken Boys	11	6	3	2	25	13	21
5	HHC Hardenberg	11	6	3	2	21	16	21
6	Barendrecht	11	6	2	3	20	17	20
7	GVVV Veenendaal	11	6	0	5	24	20	18
8	RKAV Volendam	11	5	3	3	21	20	18
9	Spakenburg	11	4	2	5	13	17	14
10	Katwijk	11	4	2	5	15	22	14
11	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	11	3	4	4	28	24	13
12	Almere City Reserves	11	4	1	6	22	21	13
13	Amsterdamsche FC	11	4	1	6	15	19	13
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	11	4	1	6	17	27	13
15	HSV Hoek	11	2	4	5	12	18	10
16	Koninklijke HFC	11	2	3	6	13	21	9
17	Kloetinge	11	1	4	6	16	29	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	11	0	1	10	9	33	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Barendrecht	Quick Boys
HSV Hoek	1-1 D	3-1 W
Spakenburg	3-1 W	1-1 D
Katwijk	0-2 L	6-0 W
Koninklijke HFC	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Quick Boys (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barendrecht

WLWDDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
17/10	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	4-1	1	7	W
10/10	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-3	0-4	5	2	L
03/10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-2	12	3	W
26/09	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	4-1	7	8	W
19/09	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
12/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
05/09	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-2	5	0	L
22/08	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

Quick Boys

WWWWLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	3-1	5	2	W
17/10	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
10/10	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	3-0	6-0	11	7	W
03/10	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-2	4	5	W
26/09	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
19/09	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	0	3	L
12/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	9	2	W
05/09	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	3	0	W
29/08	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	4-0	7	1	W
22/08	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-0	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barendrecht vs Quick Boys?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Quick Boys win (55%). Probabilities: Barendrecht 23%, draw 22%, Quick Boys 55%.

How many goals are expected in Barendrecht vs Quick Boys?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Barendrecht 1.21 · Quick Boys 1.99), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Barendrecht vs Quick Boys?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.