Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: Katwijk vs GVVV Veenendaal

Team pages: Katwijk · GVVV Veenendaal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

Katwijk1.82

GVVV Veenendaal1.82

1X2

38% 24% 38%

Katwijk Draw GVVV Veenendaal

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Katwijk 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWLLLW

GVVV Veenendaal 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Katwijk 3–3 GVVV Veenendaal (6 last)

Katwijk2-1GVVV Veenendaal
GVVV Veenendaal1-0Katwijk
GVVV Veenendaal0-3Katwijk
Katwijk2-4GVVV Veenendaal
GVVV Veenendaal2-4Katwijk
Katwijk0-2GVVV Veenendaal

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Katwijk 1503 · GVVV Veenendaal 1551

	Katwijk	Draw	GVVV Veenendaal
Our model	38%	24%	38%
Market	38%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GVVV Veenendaal (rating 1503 vs 1551).
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Katwijk	GVVV Veenendaal
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.1	2.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.2	1.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.2	1.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	1.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.75

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:03 +20’	2.35	3.75	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Katwijk 3–0–3 GVVV Veenendaal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Katwijk	2-1 HT 0-1	GVVV Veenendaal
06/09/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	GVVV Veenendaal	1-0 HT 1-0	Katwijk
12/04/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	GVVV Veenendaal	0-3 HT 0-2	Katwijk
09/11/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Katwijk	2-4 HT 0-2	GVVV Veenendaal
02/03/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	GVVV Veenendaal	2-4 HT 1-1	Katwijk
30/09/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Katwijk	0-2 HT 0-0	GVVV Veenendaal

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	11	9	1	1	32	8	28
2	De Treffers	11	6	4	1	30	14	22
3	IJsselmeervogels	11	7	1	3	16	10	22
4	Kozakken Boys	11	6	3	2	25	13	21
5	HHC Hardenberg	11	6	3	2	21	16	21
6	Barendrecht	11	6	2	3	20	17	20
7	GVVV Veenendaal	11	6	0	5	24	20	18
8	RKAV Volendam	11	5	3	3	21	20	18
9	Spakenburg	11	4	2	5	13	17	14
10	Katwijk	11	4	2	5	15	22	14
11	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	11	3	4	4	28	24	13
12	Almere City Reserves	11	4	1	6	22	21	13
13	Amsterdamsche FC	11	4	1	6	15	19	13
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	11	4	1	6	17	27	13
15	HSV Hoek	11	2	4	5	12	18	10
16	Koninklijke HFC	11	2	3	6	13	21	9
17	Kloetinge	11	1	4	6	16	29	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	11	0	1	10	9	33	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Katwijk	GVVV Veenendaal
Kloetinge	3-1 W	3-0 W
IJsselmeervogels	1-2 L	3-0 W
Quick Boys	0-6 L	0-3 L
Kozakken Boys	1-5 L	2-3 L
Amsterdamsche FC	1-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: GVVV Veenendaal (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Katwijk

DWWDLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
17/10	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
10/10	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-3	0-6	1	7	L
03/10	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-5	9	2	L
26/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
19/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	1-2	5	3	L
12/09	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-2	9	7	D
05/09	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-2	3-2	6	3	W
29/08	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-0	4	0	W
22/08	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-1	7	5	D

GVVV Veenendaal

LLLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
17/10	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-2	2	0	L
10/10	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	4-0	4-1	12	2	W
03/10	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
26/09	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-2	1	1	W
19/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
12/09	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	2	1	W
05/09	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-3	7	0	L
29/08	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-3	4	4	L
22/08	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Katwijk vs GVVV Veenendaal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Katwijk win (38%). Probabilities: Katwijk 38%, draw 24%, GVVV Veenendaal 38%.

How many goals are expected in Katwijk vs GVVV Veenendaal?

The model expects 3.64 goals (Katwijk 1.82 · GVVV Veenendaal 1.82), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Katwijk vs GVVV Veenendaal?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.