Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 05/09, 15:00
Prediction: Katwijk vs Almere City Reserves
Team pages: Katwijk · Almere City Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Katwijk1.71
Almere City Reserves1.64
1X2
Katwijk
Draw
Almere City Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Katwijk
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Almere City Reserves
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Katwijk
3–3
Almere City Reserves
(6 last)
- Katwijk3-0Almere City Reserves
- Almere City Reserves3-0Katwijk
- Katwijk0-4Almere City Reserves
- Almere City Reserves1-2Katwijk
- Katwijk1-3Almere City Reserves
- Almere City Reserves0-1Katwijk
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katwijk 1510 · Almere City Reserves 1511
| Katwijk | Draw | Almere City Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Market | 40% | 24% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Katwijk | Almere City Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 7.2 | 1.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katwijk 3–0–3 Almere City Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Katwijk | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Almere City Reserves |
| 18/10/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Almere City Reserves | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Katwijk |
| 05/04/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Katwijk | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Almere City Reserves |
| 26/10/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Almere City Reserves | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Katwijk |
| 20/01/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Katwijk | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Almere City Reserves |
| 26/08/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Almere City Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Katwijk |
Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | HHC Hardenberg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 | Spakenburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Amsterdamsche FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Katwijk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Kozakken Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | HSV Hoek | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | IJsselmeervogels | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Kloetinge | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 12 | RKAV Volendam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Almere City Reserves | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Koninklijke HFC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Barendrecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
| 17 | GVVV Veenendaal | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 | ROHDA Raalte | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Katwijk | Almere City Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| HSV Hoek | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Spakenburg | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 4-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Koninklijke HFC | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Rijnsburgse Boys | 3-2 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Katwijk (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katwijk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | ACV Assen Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-1 | 3-2 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
Almere City Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-2 | 5-4 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katwijk vs Almere City Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Katwijk win (39%). Probabilities: Katwijk 39%, draw 24%, Almere City Reserves 36%.
How many goals are expected in Katwijk vs Almere City Reserves?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Katwijk 1.71 · Almere City Reserves 1.64), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Katwijk vs Almere City Reserves?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.