Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 24/10, 13:30

Prediction: GVVV Veenendaal vs Koninklijke HFC

Team pages: GVVV Veenendaal · Koninklijke HFC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.55Total

GVVV Veenendaal2.08

Koninklijke HFC1.46

1X2

51% 23% 26%

GVVV Veenendaal Draw Koninklijke HFC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

GVVV Veenendaal 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWWWL

Koninklijke HFC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDDLDLLW

Head-to-head

GVVV Veenendaal 3–1–2 Koninklijke HFC (6 last)

GVVV Veenendaal2-1Koninklijke HFC
Koninklijke HFC2-0GVVV Veenendaal
Koninklijke HFC4-1GVVV Veenendaal
GVVV Veenendaal3-1Koninklijke HFC
GVVV Veenendaal2-2Koninklijke HFC
Koninklijke HFC0-1GVVV Veenendaal

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GVVV Veenendaal 1533 · Koninklijke HFC 1471

	GVVV Veenendaal	Draw	Koninklijke HFC
Our model	51%	23%	26%
Market	51%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GVVV Veenendaal (rating 1533 vs 1471).
H2H favours GVVV Veenendaal: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GVVV Veenendaal	Koninklijke HFC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4	2.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0.1	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.00

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.12
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.58 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:23 +10’	1.75	4.00	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:43 +73’	1.71	4.12	3.58

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GVVV Veenendaal 3–1–2 Koninklijke HFC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	GVVV Veenendaal	2-1 HT 1-0	Koninklijke HFC
13/09/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Koninklijke HFC	2-0 HT 2-0	GVVV Veenendaal
10/05/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Koninklijke HFC	4-1 HT 0-0	GVVV Veenendaal
30/11/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	GVVV Veenendaal	3-1 HT 0-0	Koninklijke HFC
17/02/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	GVVV Veenendaal	2-2 HT 1-1	Koninklijke HFC
16/09/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Koninklijke HFC	0-1 HT 0-1	GVVV Veenendaal

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	10	8	1	1	29	7	25
2	De Treffers	10	6	3	1	27	11	21
3	Kozakken Boys	10	6	3	1	25	12	21
4	IJsselmeervogels	10	6	1	3	14	9	19
5	HHC Hardenberg	10	5	3	2	20	16	18
6	Barendrecht	10	5	2	3	19	17	17
7	GVVV Veenendaal	10	5	0	5	22	20	15
8	RKAV Volendam	10	4	3	3	20	20	15
9	Spakenburg	10	4	2	4	12	15	14
10	Amsterdamsche FC	10	4	1	5	15	18	13
11	Rijnsburgse Boys	10	4	1	5	17	26	13
12	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	10	3	3	4	25	21	12
13	Katwijk	10	3	2	5	12	21	11
14	Almere City Reserves	10	3	1	6	21	21	10
15	HSV Hoek	10	2	4	4	11	15	10
16	Koninklijke HFC	10	2	3	5	13	19	9
17	Kloetinge	10	1	4	5	15	26	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	10	0	1	9	9	32	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GVVV Veenendaal	Koninklijke HFC
Kloetinge	3-0 W	2-1 W
IJsselmeervogels	3-0 W	0-2 L
Quick Boys	0-3 L	2-3 L
Kozakken Boys	2-3 L	1-1 D
Amsterdamsche FC	2-3 L	1-3 L
De Treffers	1-5 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GVVV Veenendaal

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-2	2	0	L
10/10	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	4-0	4-1	12	2	W
03/10	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
26/09	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-2	1	1	W
19/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
12/09	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	2	1	W
05/09	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-3	7	0	L
29/08	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-3	4	4	L
22/08	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
15/08	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-5	–	–	L

Koninklijke HFC

LLWDDLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
10/10	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	6	1	L
03/10	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-3	2	5	L
26/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
19/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-3	5	0	L
12/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
05/09	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-2	6	3	D
29/08	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
22/08	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GVVV Veenendaal vs Koninklijke HFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GVVV Veenendaal win (51%). Probabilities: GVVV Veenendaal 51%, draw 23%, Koninklijke HFC 26%.

How many goals are expected in GVVV Veenendaal vs Koninklijke HFC?

The model expects 3.55 goals (GVVV Veenendaal 2.08 · Koninklijke HFC 1.46), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in GVVV Veenendaal vs Koninklijke HFC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.