Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 10/10, 18:00
Prediction: De Treffers vs Barendrecht
Team pages: De Treffers · Barendrecht
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.85Total
De Treffers2.6
Barendrecht1.26
1X2
De Treffers
Draw
Barendrecht
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
De Treffers
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Barendrecht
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
De Treffers
3–2–1
Barendrecht
(6 last)
- De Treffers3-0Barendrecht
- Barendrecht2-2De Treffers
- Barendrecht5-1De Treffers
- De Treffers1-0Barendrecht
- De Treffers1-1Barendrecht
- Barendrecht0-3De Treffers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · De Treffers 1583 · Barendrecht 1518
| De Treffers | Draw | Barendrecht | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| Market | 66% | 18% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours De Treffers (rating 1583 vs 1518).
- H2H favours De Treffers: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| De Treffers | Barendrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.5 | 3.3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · De Treffers 3–2–1 Barendrecht
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | De Treffers | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Barendrecht |
| 18/10/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Barendrecht | 2-2 HT 1-0 | De Treffers |
| 08/03/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Barendrecht | 5-1 HT 4-0 | De Treffers |
| 05/10/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | De Treffers | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Barendrecht |
| 06/10/20 Netherlands Cup | De Treffers | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Barendrecht |
| 09/02/19 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Barendrecht | 0-3 | De Treffers |
Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Barendrecht | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 14 |
| 4 | HHC Hardenberg | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 14 |
| 6 | IJsselmeervogels | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Spakenburg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | Katwijk | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 11 |
| 10 | Amsterdamsche FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 10 |
| 11 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 10 |
| 12 | GVVV Veenendaal | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 9 |
| 13 | HSV Hoek | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | RKAV Volendam | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 9 |
| 15 | Almere City Reserves | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 7 |
| 16 | Koninklijke HFC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 6 |
| 17 | Kloetinge | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 6 |
| 18 | ROHDA Raalte | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | De Treffers | Barendrecht |
|---|---|---|
| HSV Hoek | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Spakenburg | 5-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Katwijk | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Koninklijke HFC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| HHC Hardenberg | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 4-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: De Treffers (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
De Treffers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/09 | Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
Barendrecht
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 3-2 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 19/09 | RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in De Treffers vs Barendrecht?
According to our model, the most likely result is a De Treffers win (66%). Probabilities: De Treffers 66%, draw 18%, Barendrecht 16%.
How many goals are expected in De Treffers vs Barendrecht?
The model expects 3.85 goals (De Treffers 2.6 · Barendrecht 1.26), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in De Treffers vs Barendrecht?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.