Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: Koninklijke HFC vs ROHDA Raalte

Team pages: Koninklijke HFC · ROHDA Raalte

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Koninklijke HFC2.07

ROHDA Raalte1.19

1X2

57% 21% 21%

Koninklijke HFC Draw ROHDA Raalte

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Koninklijke HFC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDDLDLLWL

ROHDA Raalte 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDLLLL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Koninklijke HFC 1441 · ROHDA Raalte 1389

	Koninklijke HFC	Draw	ROHDA Raalte
Our model	57%	23%	20%
Market	58%	20%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Koninklijke HFC (rating 1441 vs 1389).
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Koninklijke HFC	ROHDA Raalte
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.8	0.8 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/10/80%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	2.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.50

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:17 +4’	1.55	4.50	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	11	9	1	1	32	8	28
2	De Treffers	11	6	4	1	30	14	22
3	IJsselmeervogels	11	7	1	3	16	10	22
4	Kozakken Boys	11	6	3	2	25	13	21
5	HHC Hardenberg	11	6	3	2	21	16	21
6	Barendrecht	11	6	2	3	20	17	20
7	GVVV Veenendaal	11	6	0	5	24	20	18
8	RKAV Volendam	11	5	3	3	21	20	18
9	Spakenburg	11	4	2	5	13	17	14
10	Katwijk	11	4	2	5	15	22	14
11	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	11	3	4	4	28	24	13
12	Almere City Reserves	11	4	1	6	22	21	13
13	Amsterdamsche FC	11	4	1	6	15	19	13
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	11	4	1	6	17	27	13
15	HSV Hoek	11	2	4	5	12	18	10
16	Koninklijke HFC	11	2	3	6	13	21	9
17	Kloetinge	11	1	4	6	16	29	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	11	0	1	10	9	33	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Koninklijke HFC	ROHDA Raalte
GVVV Veenendaal	0-2 L	1-3 L
Kloetinge	2-1 W	3-3 D
IJsselmeervogels	0-2 L	0-1 L
Quick Boys	2-3 L	1-3 L
Kozakken Boys	1-1 D	1-2 L
Amsterdamsche FC	1-3 L	0-2 L
De Treffers	1-1 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	0 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Koninklijke HFC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Koninklijke HFC

LWDDLDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
17/10	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
10/10	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	6	1	L
03/10	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-3	2	5	L
26/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
19/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-3	5	0	L
12/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
05/09	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-2	6	3	D
29/08	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
22/08	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

ROHDA Raalte

LLLLLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
17/10	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
10/10	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-6	2-8	3	4	L
03/10	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
26/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-3	6	2	D
19/09	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-3	4	2	L
05/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
29/08	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-2	1	6	L
23/08	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Koninklijke HFC vs ROHDA Raalte?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Koninklijke HFC win (57%). Probabilities: Koninklijke HFC 57%, draw 21%, ROHDA Raalte 21%.

How many goals are expected in Koninklijke HFC vs ROHDA Raalte?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Koninklijke HFC 2.07 · ROHDA Raalte 1.19), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Koninklijke HFC vs ROHDA Raalte?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.