Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 07/11, 15:00
Prediction: Sparta Rotterdam Reserves vs Amsterdamsche FC
Team pages: Sparta Rotterdam Reserves · Amsterdamsche FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves1.96
Amsterdamsche FC1.82
1X2
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Draw
Amsterdamsche FC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Amsterdamsche FC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
3–1–2
Amsterdamsche FC
(6 last)
- Sparta Rotterdam Reserves3-0Amsterdamsche FC
- Amsterdamsche FC1-4Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
- Sparta Rotterdam Reserves4-2Amsterdamsche FC
- Amsterdamsche FC2-0Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
- Amsterdamsche FC3-1Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
- Sparta Rotterdam Reserves0-0Amsterdamsche FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 1499 · Amsterdamsche FC 1483
| Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | Draw | Amsterdamsche FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 23% | 36% |
| Market | 42% | 22% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sparta Rotterdam Reserves: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | Amsterdamsche FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.3 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 3–1–2 Amsterdamsche FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Amsterdamsche FC |
| 08/11/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Amsterdamsche FC | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves |
| 08/03/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Amsterdamsche FC |
| 05/10/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Amsterdamsche FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves |
| 13/04/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Amsterdamsche FC | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves |
| 11/11/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Amsterdamsche FC |
Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 28 |
| 2 | De Treffers | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | IJsselmeervogels | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Kozakken Boys | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 21 |
| 5 | HHC Hardenberg | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 21 |
| 6 | Barendrecht | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 20 |
| 7 | GVVV Veenendaal | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 18 |
| 8 | RKAV Volendam | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 20 | 18 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Katwijk | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 13 |
| 12 | Almere City Reserves | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 13 |
| 13 | Amsterdamsche FC | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 13 |
| 14 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 13 |
| 15 | HSV Hoek | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 16 | Koninklijke HFC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
| 17 | Kloetinge | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 7 |
| 18 | ROHDA Raalte | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | Amsterdamsche FC |
|---|---|---|
| Almere City Reserves | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Barendrecht | 2-3 L | 1-4 L |
| HSV Hoek | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Spakenburg | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Katwijk | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Koninklijke HFC | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| HHC Hardenberg | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Rijnsburgse Boys | 6-3 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Sparta Rotterdam Reserves (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-1 | 6-3 | – | – | W |
Amsterdamsche FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sparta Rotterdam Reserves vs Amsterdamsche FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sparta Rotterdam Reserves win (42%). Probabilities: Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 42%, draw 23%, Amsterdamsche FC 36%.
How many goals are expected in Sparta Rotterdam Reserves vs Amsterdamsche FC?
The model expects 3.78 goals (Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 1.96 · Amsterdamsche FC 1.82), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sparta Rotterdam Reserves vs Amsterdamsche FC?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.