Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: Sparta Rotterdam Reserves vs Almere City Reserves

Team pages: Sparta Rotterdam Reserves · Almere City Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.3Total

Sparta Rotterdam Reserves2.28

Almere City Reserves2.02

1X2

44% 22% 34%

Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Draw Almere City Reserves

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Almere City Reserves 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 2–3–1 Almere City Reserves (6 last)

Almere City Reserves3-0Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves2-2Almere City Reserves
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves3-3Almere City Reserves
Almere City Reserves3-4Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves2-0Almere City Reserves
Almere City Reserves1-1Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 1470 · Almere City Reserves 1493

	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	Draw	Almere City Reserves
Our model	44%	21%	35%
Market	44%	22%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 4.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sparta Rotterdam Reserves: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	Almere City Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 2.3	2.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.5	1.8 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	3.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.05

X4.10

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.44
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 3.29 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:20 +6’	2.05	4.10	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:50 +36’	1.74	4.44	3.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 2–3–1 Almere City Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Almere City Reserves	3-0 HT 0-0	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
15/11/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	2-2 HT 1-1	Almere City Reserves
24/05/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	3-3 HT 2-1	Almere City Reserves
14/12/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Almere City Reserves	3-4 HT 2-1	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
02/03/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	2-0 HT 1-0	Almere City Reserves
21/11/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Almere City Reserves	1-1 HT 1-0	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	7	6	0	1	19	4	18
2	De Treffers	7	4	3	0	19	6	15
3	Kozakken Boys	7	4	2	1	18	11	14
4	IJsselmeervogels	6	4	1	1	9	3	13
5	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	7	3	3	1	21	12	12
6	HHC Hardenberg	7	3	2	2	13	11	11
7	Barendrecht	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
8	Katwijk	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
9	Amsterdamsche FC	7	3	1	3	11	12	10
10	Spakenburg	7	3	1	3	9	11	10
11	RKAV Volendam	7	2	3	2	9	13	9
12	Rijnsburgse Boys	7	2	1	4	11	21	7
13	GVVV Veenendaal	6	2	0	4	11	16	6
14	Koninklijke HFC	7	1	3	3	9	13	6
15	HSV Hoek	7	1	3	3	8	12	6
16	Kloetinge	7	1	3	3	10	17	6
17	Almere City Reserves	7	1	1	5	11	16	4
18	ROHDA Raalte	7	0	1	6	6	20	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	Almere City Reserves
Barendrecht	2-3 L	1-4 L
HSV Hoek	3-0 W	2-2 D
Spakenburg	1-1 D	0-3 L
Katwijk	2-2 D	2-3 L
Koninklijke HFC	2-2 D	1-2 L
HHC Hardenberg	1-3 L	1-2 L
Rijnsburgse Boys	6-3 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Sparta Rotterdam Reserves (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-3	5	3	L
26/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-0	9	7	W
19/09	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
12/09	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-2	6	7	D
05/09	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-2	5	3	D
29/08	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	1-3	7	6	L
22/08	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	6-3	–	–	W
15/08	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	6-1	–	–	W
23/05	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-4	4	2	L
16/05	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-4	4	1	L

Almere City Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	4-1	3	5	W
26/09	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-4	0	8	L
19/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
12/09	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-3	6	1	L
05/09	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-2	2-3	1	3	L
29/08	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
22/08	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
23/05	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-2	5-4	6	1	W
16/05	Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sparta Rotterdam Reserves vs Almere City Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sparta Rotterdam Reserves win (44%). Probabilities: Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 44%, draw 22%, Almere City Reserves 34%.

How many goals are expected in Sparta Rotterdam Reserves vs Almere City Reserves?

The model expects 4.3 goals (Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 2.28 · Almere City Reserves 2.02), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sparta Rotterdam Reserves vs Almere City Reserves?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.