Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 07/11, 14:30

Prediction: HHC Hardenberg vs Rijnsburgse Boys

Team pages: HHC Hardenberg · Rijnsburgse Boys

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

HHC Hardenberg1.92

Rijnsburgse Boys1.71

1X2

43% 23% 34%

HHC Hardenberg Draw Rijnsburgse Boys

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

HHC Hardenberg 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDLLWDWW

Rijnsburgse Boys 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

HHC Hardenberg 1–2–3 Rijnsburgse Boys (6 last)

HHC Hardenberg1-3Rijnsburgse Boys
Rijnsburgse Boys0-4HHC Hardenberg
Rijnsburgse Boys0-0HHC Hardenberg
HHC Hardenberg1-5Rijnsburgse Boys
HHC Hardenberg3-3Rijnsburgse Boys
Rijnsburgse Boys2-1HHC Hardenberg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HHC Hardenberg 1510 · Rijnsburgse Boys 1470

	HHC Hardenberg	Draw	Rijnsburgse Boys
Our model	43%	23%	34%
Market	43%	23%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HHC Hardenberg (rating 1510 vs 1470).
H2H favours Rijnsburgse Boys: 3-2-1.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HHC Hardenberg	Rijnsburgse Boys
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	1.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6	2.8 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.90

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:16 +6’	2.10	3.90	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HHC Hardenberg 1–2–3 Rijnsburgse Boys

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	1-3 HT 1-2	Rijnsburgse Boys
30/08/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	0-4 HT 0-1	HHC Hardenberg
01/02/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	0-0 HT 0-0	HHC Hardenberg
07/09/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	1-5 HT 0-1	Rijnsburgse Boys
04/05/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	3-3 HT 2-2	Rijnsburgse Boys
25/11/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Rijnsburgse Boys	2-1 HT 0-1	HHC Hardenberg

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	11	9	1	1	32	8	28
2	De Treffers	11	6	4	1	30	14	22
3	IJsselmeervogels	11	7	1	3	16	10	22
4	Kozakken Boys	11	6	3	2	25	13	21
5	HHC Hardenberg	11	6	3	2	21	16	21
6	Barendrecht	11	6	2	3	20	17	20
7	GVVV Veenendaal	11	6	0	5	24	20	18
8	RKAV Volendam	11	5	3	3	21	20	18
9	Spakenburg	11	4	2	5	13	17	14
10	Katwijk	11	4	2	5	15	22	14
11	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	11	3	4	4	28	24	13
12	Almere City Reserves	11	4	1	6	22	21	13
13	Amsterdamsche FC	11	4	1	6	15	19	13
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	11	4	1	6	17	27	13
15	HSV Hoek	11	2	4	5	12	18	10
16	Koninklijke HFC	11	2	3	6	13	21	9
17	Kloetinge	11	1	4	6	16	29	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	11	0	1	10	9	33	1

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HHC Hardenberg	Rijnsburgse Boys
ROHDA Raalte	1-0 W	1-0 W
GVVV Veenendaal	2-1 W	1-4 L
Kloetinge	3-3 D	4-1 W
IJsselmeervogels	2-1 W	0-3 L
Quick Boys	0-2 L	3-1 W
Kozakken Boys	1-2 L	1-6 L
Amsterdamsche FC	2-2 D	3-0 W
De Treffers	2-2 D	1-1 D
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	3-1 W	3-6 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: HHC Hardenberg (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HHC Hardenberg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
17/10	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-1	6	0	W
10/10	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-3	–	–	D
03/10	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-1	6	2	W
26/09	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
19/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
12/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-2	10	3	D
05/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-2	8	6	D
29/08	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-1	7	6	W
22/08	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

Rijnsburgse Boys

LDWLWLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
17/10	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
10/10	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-4	1-4	3	2	L
03/10	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	4-0	4-1	7	2	W
26/09	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-3	8	1	L
19/09	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
12/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-6	6	0	L
05/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-0	14	8	W
29/08	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
22/08	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	3-6	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HHC Hardenberg vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HHC Hardenberg win (43%). Probabilities: HHC Hardenberg 43%, draw 23%, Rijnsburgse Boys 34%.

How many goals are expected in HHC Hardenberg vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

The model expects 3.63 goals (HHC Hardenberg 1.92 · Rijnsburgse Boys 1.71), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in HHC Hardenberg vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.