Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 26/09, 14:30

Prediction: GVVV Veenendaal vs RKAV Volendam

Team pages: GVVV Veenendaal · RKAV Volendam

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.01Total

GVVV Veenendaal2.26

RKAV Volendam1.75

1X2

49% 22% 29%

GVVV Veenendaal Draw RKAV Volendam

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

GVVV Veenendaal 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLLLLW

RKAV Volendam 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWDWDD

Head-to-head

GVVV Veenendaal 1–3 RKAV Volendam (4 last)

GVVV Veenendaal1-3RKAV Volendam
RKAV Volendam0-2GVVV Veenendaal
GVVV Veenendaal2-5RKAV Volendam
RKAV Volendam4-1GVVV Veenendaal

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GVVV Veenendaal 1466 · RKAV Volendam 1475

	GVVV Veenendaal	Draw	RKAV Volendam
Our model	49%	22%	29%
Market	48%	23%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 4.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours RKAV Volendam: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GVVV Veenendaal	RKAV Volendam
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 3	1.4 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.5	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.3	1.1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.90

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.06
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.26 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:16 +7’	1.85	3.90	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:41 +41’	1.81	4.06	3.26

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GVVV Veenendaal 1–0–3 RKAV Volendam

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	GVVV Veenendaal	1-3 HT 0-0	RKAV Volendam
11/10/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	RKAV Volendam	0-2 HT 0-0	GVVV Veenendaal
08/03/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	GVVV Veenendaal	2-5 HT 1-2	RKAV Volendam
05/10/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	RKAV Volendam	4-1 HT 1-0	GVVV Veenendaal

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	6	5	0	1	17	4	15
2	Kozakken Boys	6	4	1	1	17	10	13
3	De Treffers	6	3	3	0	14	6	12
4	HHC Hardenberg	6	3	2	1	13	9	11
5	IJsselmeervogels	5	3	1	1	6	3	10
6	Spakenburg	6	3	1	2	9	6	10
7	Amsterdamsche FC	6	3	1	2	11	11	10
8	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	6	2	3	1	18	12	9
9	RKAV Volendam	6	2	3	1	7	10	9
10	Katwijk	6	2	2	2	9	8	8
11	Barendrecht	6	2	2	2	8	9	8
12	Rijnsburgse Boys	6	2	1	3	11	18	7
13	HSV Hoek	6	1	3	2	8	9	6
14	Koninklijke HFC	6	1	2	3	8	12	5
15	Kloetinge	6	1	2	3	7	14	5
16	Almere City Reserves	6	1	1	4	10	12	4
17	GVVV Veenendaal	5	1	0	4	8	14	3
18	ROHDA Raalte	6	0	0	6	3	17	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GVVV Veenendaal	RKAV Volendam
Kloetinge	3-0 W	1-1 D
Quick Boys	0-3 L	0-5 L
Amsterdamsche FC	2-3 L	0-3 L
Almere City Reserves	4-5 L	2-3 L
IJsselmeervogels	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: GVVV Veenendaal (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GVVV Veenendaal

LWLDLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
05/09	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-3	7	0	L
29/08	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-3	4	4	L
22/08	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
15/08	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-5	6	2	L
23/05	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-2	4-5	5	1	L
16/05	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	11	0	D
09/05	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-3	4	3	L
25/04	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	3-1	7	4	W
18/04	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-3	0-6	2	3	L

RKAV Volendam

LLWLLWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	10	5	D
12/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
29/08	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
22/08	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
15/08	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-5	3	2	L
23/05	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-3	0-7	3	0	L
16/05	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	5-2	2	2	W
09/05	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-3	1	4	L
25/04	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-3	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GVVV Veenendaal vs RKAV Volendam?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GVVV Veenendaal win (49%). Probabilities: GVVV Veenendaal 49%, draw 22%, RKAV Volendam 29%.

How many goals are expected in GVVV Veenendaal vs RKAV Volendam?

The model expects 4.01 goals (GVVV Veenendaal 2.26 · RKAV Volendam 1.75), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in GVVV Veenendaal vs RKAV Volendam?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.