Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 17/10, 14:30

Prediction: RKAV Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

Team pages: RKAV Volendam · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.3Total

RKAV Volendam2.27

Sparta Rotterdam Reserves2.03

1X2

44% 21% 35%

RKAV Volendam Draw Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

RKAV Volendam 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDWDDLLW

Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLDDDWLL

Head-to-head

RKAV Volendam 1–1–1 Sparta Rotterdam Reserves (3 last)

RKAV Volendam1-1Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves1-3RKAV Volendam
RKAV Volendam1-3Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RKAV Volendam 1480 · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 1484

	RKAV Volendam	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Our model	44%	21%	35%
Market	44%	22%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 4.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RKAV Volendam	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.6	2.5 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.3	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.4	2.5 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X4.10

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:40 +5’	2.05	4.10	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · RKAV Volendam 1–1–1 Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	RKAV Volendam	1-1 HT 0-1	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
18/01/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	1-3 HT 0-0	RKAV Volendam
24/08/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	RKAV Volendam	1-3 HT 0-2	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	9	8	0	1	28	6	24
2	Kozakken Boys	9	6	2	1	25	12	20
3	De Treffers	9	5	3	1	24	9	18
4	IJsselmeervogels	9	5	1	3	12	8	16
5	GVVV Veenendaal	9	5	0	4	21	18	15
6	HHC Hardenberg	9	4	3	2	18	15	15
7	Barendrecht	9	4	2	3	15	16	14
8	Amsterdamsche FC	9	4	1	4	14	14	13
9	Spakenburg	9	4	1	4	11	14	13
10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	9	3	3	3	24	19	12
11	RKAV Volendam	9	3	3	3	18	19	12
12	Katwijk	9	3	2	4	11	19	11
13	Almere City Reserves	9	3	1	5	19	18	10
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	9	3	1	5	16	26	10
15	HSV Hoek	9	2	3	4	11	15	9
16	Kloetinge	9	1	4	4	14	24	7
17	Koninklijke HFC	9	1	3	5	11	18	6
18	ROHDA Raalte	9	0	1	8	9	31	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RKAV Volendam	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
ROHDA Raalte	8-2 W	6-1 W
Almere City Reserves	1-4 L	1-4 L
Barendrecht	1-1 D	2-3 L
HSV Hoek	2-1 W	3-0 W
Spakenburg	2-1 W	1-1 D
Rijnsburgse Boys	0-7 L	6-3 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RKAV Volendam (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RKAV Volendam

LLWDWDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	6-2	8-2	4	4	W
03/10	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-4	10	5	L
26/09	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-3	7	1	L
19/09	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	10	5	D
12/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
29/08	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
22/08	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
15/08	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-5	3	2	L
23/05	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-3	0-7	3	0	L

Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

LWWLDDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-4	7	4	L
03/10	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-3	5	3	L
26/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-0	9	7	W
19/09	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
12/09	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-2	6	7	D
05/09	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-2	5	3	D
29/08	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	1-3	7	6	L
22/08	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	6-3	–	–	W
15/08	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	6-1	–	–	W
23/05	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-4	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RKAV Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RKAV Volendam win (44%). Probabilities: RKAV Volendam 44%, draw 21%, Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 35%.

How many goals are expected in RKAV Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves?

The model expects 4.3 goals (RKAV Volendam 2.27 · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 2.03), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in RKAV Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.