Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 07/11, 14:30

Prediction: RKAV Volendam vs De Treffers

Team pages: RKAV Volendam · De Treffers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

RKAV Volendam1.3

De Treffers1.97

1X2

25% 23% 53%

RKAV Volendam Draw De Treffers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

RKAV Volendam 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDDLLWWW

De Treffers 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDDDWWLWWD

Head-to-head

RKAV Volendam 0–1–4 De Treffers (5 last)

RKAV Volendam0-1De Treffers
De Treffers3-3RKAV Volendam
De Treffers1-0RKAV Volendam
De Treffers3-2RKAV Volendam
RKAV Volendam2-5De Treffers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RKAV Volendam 1528 · De Treffers 1580

	RKAV Volendam	Draw	De Treffers
Our model	24%	24%	52%
Market	25%	22%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours De Treffers (rating 1528 vs 1580).
H2H favours De Treffers: 4-1-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RKAV Volendam	De Treffers
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	2.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.8	3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.60

X4.10

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.88

2 (-0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
X	4.20 → 4.10▼	Bet365 4.10
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
15:11 +11’	3.50	4.20	1.70
16:03 +13’	3.60▲	4.10▼	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · RKAV Volendam 0–1–4 De Treffers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	RKAV Volendam	0-1 HT 0-1	De Treffers
23/09/25 Netherlands Cup	De Treffers	3-3 HT 1-2	RKAV Volendam
16/08/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	1-0 HT 0-0	RKAV Volendam
15/03/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	De Treffers	3-2 HT 3-1	RKAV Volendam
12/10/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	RKAV Volendam	2-5 HT 1-2	De Treffers

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	11	9	1	1	32	8	28
2	De Treffers	11	6	4	1	30	14	22
3	IJsselmeervogels	11	7	1	3	16	10	22
4	Kozakken Boys	11	6	3	2	25	13	21
5	HHC Hardenberg	11	6	3	2	21	16	21
6	Barendrecht	11	6	2	3	20	17	20
7	GVVV Veenendaal	11	6	0	5	24	20	18
8	RKAV Volendam	11	5	3	3	21	20	18
9	Spakenburg	11	4	2	5	13	17	14
10	Katwijk	11	4	2	5	15	22	14
11	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	11	3	4	4	28	24	13
12	Almere City Reserves	11	4	1	6	22	21	13
13	Amsterdamsche FC	11	4	1	6	15	19	13
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	11	4	1	6	17	27	13
15	HSV Hoek	11	2	4	5	12	18	10
16	Koninklijke HFC	11	2	3	6	13	21	9
17	Kloetinge	11	1	4	6	16	29	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	11	0	1	10	9	33	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RKAV Volendam	De Treffers
Rijnsburgse Boys	1-0 W	1-1 D
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	2-1 W	3-3 D
ROHDA Raalte	8-2 W	3-0 W
Almere City Reserves	1-4 L	3-2 W
Barendrecht	1-1 D	4-0 W
HSV Hoek	2-1 W	1-3 L
Spakenburg	2-1 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RKAV Volendam (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RKAV Volendam

WDWDDLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
17/10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
10/10	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	6-2	8-2	4	4	W
03/10	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-4	10	5	L
26/09	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-3	7	1	L
19/09	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	10	5	D
12/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
29/08	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
22/08	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	5	2	W

De Treffers

WDDDWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-3	5	2	D
17/10	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-2	6	1	W
10/10	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	3-0	4-0	10	2	W
03/10	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-3	6	5	L
26/09	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	3-0	5-0	4	2	W
19/09	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	2-1	3	3	W
12/09	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
05/09	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-2	7	6	D
29/08	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
23/08	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RKAV Volendam vs De Treffers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an De Treffers win (53%). Probabilities: RKAV Volendam 25%, draw 23%, De Treffers 53%.

How many goals are expected in RKAV Volendam vs De Treffers?

The model expects 3.27 goals (RKAV Volendam 1.3 · De Treffers 1.97), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in RKAV Volendam vs De Treffers?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.