Football · South Korea Cup · 15/07, 12:00
Prediction: Yongin FC vs Dangjin Citizen FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Yongin FC1.75
Dangjin Citizen FC1.01
1X2
Yongin FC
Draw
Dangjin Citizen FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Yongin FC
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Dangjin Citizen FC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yongin FC 1515 · Dangjin Citizen FC 1481
| Yongin FC | Draw | Dangjin Citizen FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yongin FC | Dangjin Citizen FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 2.2 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yongin FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Dangjin Citizen FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Haman South Korea Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 6 | D |
| 28/06 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
3-1 | 5-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yongin FC vs Dangjin Citizen FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yongin FC win (54%). Probabilities: Yongin FC 54%, draw 26%, Dangjin Citizen FC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Yongin FC vs Dangjin Citizen FC?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Yongin FC 1.75 · Dangjin Citizen FC 1.01), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Yongin FC vs Dangjin Citizen FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.