Prediction: Grange Thistle (W) vs Logan Lightning (W)
Expected goals: 4.17 (Grange Thistle (W) 2.15 · Logan Lightning (W) 2.02). The model gives 41% home, 23% draw, 36% away. Over 3.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (63%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Grange Thistle (W) is 2-2-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Logan Lightning (W) 5-0-5 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Grange Thistle (W) and 2 for Logan Lightning (W).
| Grange Thistle (W) | Draw | Logan Lightning (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 22% | 37% |
| Market | 41% | 24% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Logan Lightning (W) (rating 1433 vs 1488).
- H2H favours Logan Lightning (W): 2-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grange Thistle (W) | Logan Lightning (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.7 | 1.6 / 3.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 2.1 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grange Thistle (W) 0–0–2 Logan Lightning (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/25 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Grange Thistle (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Logan Lightning (W) |
| 29/06/25 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Logan Lightning (W) | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Grange Thistle (W) |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caboolture FC (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | North Lakes United (W) | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 6 | 28 |
| 3 | The Gap NPL (W) | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 19 |
| 4 | Mitchelton FC (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 15 |
| 5 | Palm Beach SC (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 15 |
| 6 | Logan Lightning (W) | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 15 |
| 7 | Peninsula Power (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 32 | 14 |
| 8 | Virginia United SC (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 14 |
| 9 | Grange Thistle (W) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 8 |
| 10 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 30 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Grange Thistle (W) | Logan Lightning (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchelton FC (W) | 1-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Peninsula Power (W) | 4-2 W | 4-2 W |
| Palm Beach SC (W) | 0-3 L | 4-3 W |
| Caboolture FC (W) | 0-7 L | 1-5 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Virginia United SC (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| North Lakes United (W) | 2-2 D | 0-6 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grange Thistle (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-5 | 0-7 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 21/03 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 14/03 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | D |
Logan Lightning (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-4 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 01/07 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 05/06 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 26/05 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
4-0 | 4-3 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-9 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 17/04 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grange Thistle (W) vs Logan Lightning (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Grange Thistle (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Grange Thistle (W) 41%, draw 23%, Logan Lightning (W) 36%.
How many goals are expected in Grange Thistle (W) vs Logan Lightning (W)?
The model expects 4.17 goals (Grange Thistle (W) 2.15 · Logan Lightning (W) 2.02), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Grange Thistle (W) vs Logan Lightning (W)?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.