Prediction: Logan Lightning (W) vs The Gap NPL (W)
Expected goals: 4.4 (Logan Lightning (W) 1.89 · The Gap NPL (W) 2.51). The model gives 28% home, 21% draw, 50% away. Under 4.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (63%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Recent form leaves Logan Lightning (W) with 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; The Gap NPL (W) has piled up 5-0-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 5 wins for Logan Lightning (W) and 0 for The Gap NPL (W), with 1 draw.
| Logan Lightning (W) | Draw | The Gap NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| Market | 28% | 22% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Logan Lightning (W): 5-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Logan Lightning (W) | The Gap NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 3.7 | 3 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.9 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 60/0/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.5 | 1.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.6 / 0 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Logan Lightning (W) 5–1–0 The Gap NPL (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | The Gap NPL (W) | 3-4 HT 1-4 | Logan Lightning (W) |
| 20/02/26 Australia Queensland Pro Series Women | The Gap NPL (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Logan Lightning (W) |
| 07/08/22 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | The Gap NPL (W) | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Logan Lightning (W) |
| 11/06/22 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Logan Lightning (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | The Gap NPL (W) |
| 09/04/22 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | The Gap NPL (W) | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Logan Lightning (W) |
| 07/09/21 Australia FQPL Women | The Gap NPL (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Logan Lightning (W) |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caboolture FC (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | North Lakes United (W) | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 6 | 28 |
| 3 | The Gap NPL (W) | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 19 |
| 4 | Mitchelton FC (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 15 |
| 5 | Palm Beach SC (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 15 |
| 6 | Logan Lightning (W) | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 15 |
| 7 | Peninsula Power (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 32 | 14 |
| 8 | Virginia United SC (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 14 |
| 9 | Grange Thistle (W) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 8 |
| 10 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 30 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Logan Lightning (W) | The Gap NPL (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Grange Thistle (W) | 1-3 L | 4-2 W |
| Caboolture FC (W) | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Virginia United SC (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| North Lakes United (W) | 0-6 L | 2-5 L |
| Palm Beach SC (W) | 4-3 W | 5-3 W |
| Peninsula Power (W) | 4-2 W | 5-3 W |
| Mitchelton FC (W) | 0-4 L | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 5 L | 5 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: The Gap NPL (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Logan Lightning (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-4 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 01/07 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 05/06 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 26/05 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
4-0 | 4-3 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-9 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 8 | 0 | L |
The Gap NPL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
4-0 | 5-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-2 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-3 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
1-3 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Logan Lightning (W) vs The Gap NPL (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an The Gap NPL (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Logan Lightning (W) 28%, draw 21%, The Gap NPL (W) 50%.
How many goals are expected in Logan Lightning (W) vs The Gap NPL (W)?
The model expects 4.4 goals (Logan Lightning (W) 1.89 · The Gap NPL (W) 2.51), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Logan Lightning (W) vs The Gap NPL (W)?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.