Football · Australia Queensland Premier League Women · 12/07, 09:00
Prediction: Mitchelton FC (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
Mitchelton FC (W)2.04
Palm Beach SC (W)1.33
1X2
Mitchelton FC (W)
Draw
Palm Beach SC (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mitchelton FC (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Palm Beach SC (W)
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mitchelton FC (W)
1–1–1
Palm Beach SC (W)
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitchelton FC (W) 1501 · Palm Beach SC (W) 1461
| Mitchelton FC (W) | Draw | Palm Beach SC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| Market | 54% | 21% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mitchelton FC (W) (rating 1501 vs 1461).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mitchelton FC (W) | Palm Beach SC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 2.7 | 3.3 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mitchelton FC (W) 1–1–1 Palm Beach SC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Australia Queensland Pro Series Women | Mitchelton FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Palm Beach SC (W) |
| 11/04/26 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Palm Beach SC (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Mitchelton FC (W) |
| 21/02/26 Australia Queensland Pro Series Women | Mitchelton FC (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Palm Beach SC (W) |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caboolture FC (W) | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | North Lakes United (W) | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 6 | 28 |
| 3 | The Gap NPL (W) | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 33 | 22 |
| 4 | Mitchelton FC (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 15 |
| 5 | Palm Beach SC (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 15 |
| 6 | Logan Lightning (W) | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 36 | 15 |
| 7 | Peninsula Power (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 32 | 14 |
| 8 | Virginia United SC (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 14 |
| 9 | Grange Thistle (W) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 8 |
| 10 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 30 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mitchelton FC (W) | Palm Beach SC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Grange Thistle (W) | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| The Gap NPL (W) | 3-4 L | 3-5 L |
| Peninsula Power (W) | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Caboolture FC (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| North Lakes United (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Logan Lightning (W) | 4-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Virginia United SC (W) | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Mitchelton FC (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitchelton FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/06 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/06 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Palm Beach SC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-4 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/05 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-4 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitchelton FC (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mitchelton FC (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Mitchelton FC (W) 53%, draw 22%, Palm Beach SC (W) 24%.
How many goals are expected in Mitchelton FC (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?
The model expects 3.37 goals (Mitchelton FC (W) 2.04 · Palm Beach SC (W) 1.33), with a 57% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Mitchelton FC (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.