Football · South Korea Cup · 15/07, 12:00
Prediction: Ulsan Citizen FC vs Seoul E-Land FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Ulsan Citizen FC1.01
Seoul E-Land FC1.85
1X2
Ulsan Citizen FC
Draw
Seoul E-Land FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ulsan Citizen FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Seoul E-Land FC
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ulsan Citizen FC 1512 · Seoul E-Land FC 1542
| Ulsan Citizen FC | Draw | Seoul E-Land FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 25% | 56% |
| Market | 19% | 26% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ulsan Citizen FC | Seoul E-Land FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.8 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ulsan Citizen FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Chuncheon FC South Korea Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
Seoul E-Land FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 26/04 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ulsan Citizen FC vs Seoul E-Land FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Seoul E-Land FC win (56%). Probabilities: Ulsan Citizen FC 19%, draw 25%, Seoul E-Land FC 56%.
How many goals are expected in Ulsan Citizen FC vs Seoul E-Land FC?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Ulsan Citizen FC 1.01 · Seoul E-Land FC 1.85), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ulsan Citizen FC vs Seoul E-Land FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.