Football · South Korea Cup · 15/07, 12:00

Prediction: Paju Frontier FC vs Gangneung City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Paju Frontier FC1.72

Gangneung City0.91

1X2

55% 26% 19%

Paju Frontier FC Draw Gangneung City

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Paju Frontier FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Gangneung City 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Paju Frontier FC 4–2–0 Gangneung City (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paju Frontier FC 1454 · Gangneung City 1457

	Paju Frontier FC	Draw	Gangneung City
Our model	55%	26%	19%
Market	56%	26%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Paju Frontier FC: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Paju Frontier FC	Gangneung City
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.6	1.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.4	3.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paju Frontier FC 4–2–0 Gangneung City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/08/25 South Korea K3 League	Paju Frontier FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Gangneung City
04/05/25 South Korea K3 League	Gangneung City	1-1 HT 0-0	Paju Frontier FC
06/07/24 South Korea K3 League	Paju Frontier FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Gangneung City
16/03/24 South Korea K3 League	Gangneung City	1-1 HT 1-1	Paju Frontier FC
02/09/23 South Korea K3 League	Paju Frontier FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Gangneung City
07/05/23 South Korea K3 League	Gangneung City	0-1 HT 0-0	Paju Frontier FC

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Paju Frontier FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
04/07	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
05/06	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	6	8	L
30/05	Busan I Park South Korea K League 2	0-1	1-4	6	2	L
25/05	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
16/05	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
03/05	Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
25/04	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	2-1	2-3	2	8	L
19/04	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
11/04	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-3	3	3	L

Gangneung City

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
04/07	Jecheon Citizen South Korea Cup	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
28/06	Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	1-3	2-5	6	1	L
21/06	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
06/06	Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
30/05	Changwon City South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
23/05	Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
17/05	Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League	0-1	1-1	2	2	D
10/05	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
06/05	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship	0-0	1-2	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paju Frontier FC vs Gangneung City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Paju Frontier FC win (55%). Probabilities: Paju Frontier FC 55%, draw 26%, Gangneung City 19%.

How many goals are expected in Paju Frontier FC vs Gangneung City?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Paju Frontier FC 1.72 · Gangneung City 0.91), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Paju Frontier FC vs Gangneung City?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.