Football · South Korea Cup · 15/07, 12:00
Prediction: Ansan Greeners FC vs Jinju Citizen FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Ansan Greeners FC1.81
Jinju Citizen FC1.05
1X2
Ansan Greeners FC
Draw
Jinju Citizen FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ansan Greeners FC
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Jinju Citizen FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ansan Greeners FC 1432 · Jinju Citizen FC 1542
| Ansan Greeners FC | Draw | Jinju Citizen FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | 55% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jinju Citizen FC (rating 1432 vs 1542).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ansan Greeners FC | Jinju Citizen FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.6 | 2.7 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ansan Greeners FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
Jinju Citizen FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Sejong SA South Korea Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 15 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 27/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
1-3 | 2-6 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 05/05 | Haman South Korea League Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ansan Greeners FC vs Jinju Citizen FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ansan Greeners FC win (55%). Probabilities: Ansan Greeners FC 55%, draw 24%, Jinju Citizen FC 22%.
How many goals are expected in Ansan Greeners FC vs Jinju Citizen FC?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Ansan Greeners FC 1.81 · Jinju Citizen FC 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Ansan Greeners FC vs Jinju Citizen FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.