Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · 26/09, 18:45
Prediction: Arenas Club de Getxo vs Athletic Bilbao B
Team pages: Arenas Club de Getxo · Athletic Bilbao B
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Arenas Club de Getxo1.26
Athletic Bilbao B1.57
1X2
Arenas Club de Getxo
Draw
Athletic Bilbao B
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Arenas Club de Getxo
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Athletic Bilbao B
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Arenas Club de Getxo
1–2–3
Athletic Bilbao B
(6 last)
- Athletic Bilbao B1-1Arenas Club de Getxo
- Arenas Club de Getxo3-1Athletic Bilbao B
- Athletic Bilbao B1-0Arenas Club de Getxo
- Athletic Bilbao B2-1Arenas Club de Getxo
- Arenas Club de Getxo0-3Athletic Bilbao B
- Athletic Bilbao B1-1Arenas Club de Getxo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arenas Club de Getxo 1473 · Athletic Bilbao B 1549
| Arenas Club de Getxo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 27% | 43% |
| Market | 29% | 28% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athletic Bilbao B (rating 1473 vs 1549).
- H2H favours Athletic Bilbao B: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arenas Club de Getxo | Athletic Bilbao B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.5 | 2.9 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arenas Club de Getxo 1–2–3 Athletic Bilbao B
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 | Athletic Bilbao B | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Arenas Club de Getxo |
| 07/12/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 | Arenas Club de Getxo | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Athletic Bilbao B |
| 13/08/25 Europe Friendlies | Athletic Bilbao B | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Arenas Club de Getxo |
| 16/03/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 | Athletic Bilbao B | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Arenas Club de Getxo |
| 04/11/23 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 | Arenas Club de Getxo | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Athletic Bilbao B |
| 16/01/21 Spain Segunda B Group 2 | Athletic Bilbao B | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Arenas Club de Getxo |
Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Cacereno | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Lugo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Real Unión | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 7 |
| 6 | Mirandes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Pontevedra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Racing Ferrol | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Ponferradina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Cultural Leonesa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Deportivo Fabril | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | Real Aviles CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | CD Coria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | Zamora CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Merida | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | CD Extremadura | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | Unionistas de Salamanca CF | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
| 19 | Arenas Club de Getxo | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 20 | UD Ourense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arenas Club de Getxo | Athletic Bilbao B |
|---|---|---|
| Zamora CF | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Pontevedra | 1-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Racing Ferrol | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Athletic Bilbao B (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arenas Club de Getxo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Cacereno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Pontevedra Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Racing Ferrol Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 08/05 | Racing Ferrol Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 02/05 | CF Talavera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 24/04 | Merida Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Tenerife Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Athletic Bilbao B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Deportivo Fabril Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Pontevedra Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Real Aviles CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Ponferradina Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | CD Guadalajara Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Pontevedra Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Ourense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Unionistas de Salamanca CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 19/04 | Racing Ferrol Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arenas Club de Getxo vs Athletic Bilbao B?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Athletic Bilbao B win (43%). Probabilities: Arenas Club de Getxo 29%, draw 28%, Athletic Bilbao B 43%.
How many goals are expected in Arenas Club de Getxo vs Athletic Bilbao B?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Arenas Club de Getxo 1.26 · Athletic Bilbao B 1.57), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Arenas Club de Getxo vs Athletic Bilbao B?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.