Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · 03/10, 16:30
Prediction: Racing Ferrol vs Pontevedra
Team pages: Racing Ferrol · Pontevedra
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Racing Ferrol1.28
Pontevedra0.98
1X2
Racing Ferrol
Draw
Pontevedra
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Ferrol
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Pontevedra
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Racing Ferrol
4–1–1
Pontevedra
(6 last)
- Racing Ferrol0-0Pontevedra
- Pontevedra2-1Racing Ferrol
- Racing Ferrol5-1Pontevedra
- Racing Ferrol2-0Pontevedra
- Pontevedra0-2Racing Ferrol
- Pontevedra1-3Racing Ferrol
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Racing Ferrol 1498 · Pontevedra 1509
| Racing Ferrol | Draw | Pontevedra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 31% | 27% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Racing Ferrol: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing Ferrol | Pontevedra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.4 | 2.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Ferrol 4–1–1 Pontevedra
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 | Racing Ferrol | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Pontevedra |
| 03/01/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 | Pontevedra | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Racing Ferrol |
| 29/07/23 Europe Friendlies | Racing Ferrol | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Pontevedra |
| 19/02/23 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 | Racing Ferrol | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Pontevedra |
| 04/12/22 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 | Pontevedra | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Racing Ferrol |
| 08/08/21 Europe Friendlies | Pontevedra | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Racing Ferrol |
Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Lugo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Athletic Bilbao B | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Cacereno | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Mirandes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Deportivo Fabril | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Cultural Leonesa | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Ponferradina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 10 | Real Unión | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 7 |
| 11 | Zamora CF | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Racing Ferrol | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Real Aviles CF | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 14 | CD Coria | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | CD Extremadura | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 17 | Merida | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
| 18 | Unionistas de Salamanca CF | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| 20 | Arenas Club de Getxo | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Racing Ferrol | Pontevedra |
|---|---|---|
| Arenas Club de Getxo | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Real Aviles CF | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Pontevedra (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing Ferrol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Lugo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Barakaldo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Real Unión Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Extremadura Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Arenas Club de Getxo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Unionistas de Salamanca CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Osasuna B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 08/05 | Arenas Club de Getxo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 02/05 | Pontevedra Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Real Aviles CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | D |
Pontevedra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Ponferradina Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/09 | UD Logrones Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Athletic Bilbao B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Arenas Club de Getxo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | Real Aviles CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Real Aviles CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | Tenerife Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Athletic Bilbao B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Racing Ferrol Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 25/04 | Celta Fortuna Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing Ferrol vs Pontevedra?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Ferrol win (42%). Probabilities: Racing Ferrol 42%, draw 30%, Pontevedra 28%.
How many goals are expected in Racing Ferrol vs Pontevedra?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Racing Ferrol 1.28 · Pontevedra 0.98), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing Ferrol vs Pontevedra?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.