Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · 24/10, 18:45

Prediction: Cacereno vs Zamora CF

Team pages: Cacereno · Zamora CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.03Total

Cacereno0.99

Zamora CF1.04

1X2

33% 31% 36%

Cacereno Draw Zamora CF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Cacereno 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDWWDLDL

Zamora CF 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLWWDD

Head-to-head

Cacereno 1–1 Zamora CF (2 last)

Zamora CF1-2Cacereno
Cacereno0-2Zamora CF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cacereno 1484 · Zamora CF 1520

	Cacereno	Draw	Zamora CF
Our model	32%	33%	35%
Market	34%	29%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cacereno	Zamora CF
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.2	1.4 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.10

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:20 +6’	2.63	3.10	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cacereno 1–0–1 Zamora CF

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Zamora CF	1-2 HT 1-0	Cacereno
12/12/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Cacereno	0-2 HT 0-2	Zamora CF

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lugo	8	7	1	0	15	4	22
2	UD Logrones	8	5	2	1	17	11	17
3	Racing Ferrol	8	5	1	2	9	5	16
4	Merida	8	4	0	4	15	12	12
5	Athletic Bilbao B	8	3	3	2	13	10	12
6	Zamora CF	8	3	3	2	10	8	12
7	Cultural Leonesa	8	3	3	2	9	7	12
8	Cacereno	8	3	3	2	7	5	12
9	Ponferradina	8	3	3	2	6	6	12
10	Real Aviles CF	8	3	2	3	14	10	11
11	Mirandes	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
11	Pontevedra	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
13	Real Unión	8	2	4	2	15	13	10
14	CD Extremadura	8	3	1	4	11	10	10
15	Barakaldo	8	2	3	3	8	10	9
16	Deportivo Fabril	8	2	2	4	8	11	8
17	CD Coria	8	2	2	4	12	16	8
18	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	8	2	1	5	10	14	7
19	UD Ourense	8	1	2	5	3	13	5
20	Arenas Club de Getxo	8	0	2	6	5	22	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cacereno	Zamora CF
Arenas Club de Getxo	3-0 W	2-1 W
Mirandes	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Cacereno (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cacereno

WLWDWWDLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Pontevedra Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	8	8	L
10/10	Unionistas de Salamanca CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
04/10	Merida Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-2	12	1	L
27/09	UD Ourense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
20/09	Arenas Club de Getxo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	3-0	3	6	W
13/09	Cultural Leonesa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
06/09	Deportivo Fabril Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
28/08	Mirandes Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
23/05	CF Talavera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	1-2	1	5	L
17/05	Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	2-1	2	1	W

Zamora CF

LLDLWLWWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Ponferradina Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
10/10	Mirandes Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
04/10	CD Coria Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
26/09	CD Extremadura Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
20/09	Lugo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-2	1-2	1	6	L
13/09	Arenas Club de Getxo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	2-1	2-1	2	3	W
06/09	UD Logrones Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
29/08	Athletic Bilbao B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
23/05	Arenas Club de Getxo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
17/05	Cacereno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	1-2	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cacereno vs Zamora CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Zamora CF win (36%). Probabilities: Cacereno 33%, draw 31%, Zamora CF 36%.

How many goals are expected in Cacereno vs Zamora CF?

The model expects 2.03 goals (Cacereno 0.99 · Zamora CF 1.04), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cacereno vs Zamora CF?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.