Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · 24/10, 18:45

Prediction: Unionistas de Salamanca CF vs Athletic Bilbao B

Team pages: Unionistas de Salamanca CF · Athletic Bilbao B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Unionistas de Salamanca CF1.21

Athletic Bilbao B1.33

1X2

33% 28% 39%

Unionistas de Salamanca CF Draw Athletic Bilbao B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Unionistas de Salamanca CF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWLWDL

Athletic Bilbao B 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDWLDL

Head-to-head

Unionistas de Salamanca CF 3–2–1 Athletic Bilbao B (6 last)

Unionistas de Salamanca CF1-1Athletic Bilbao B
Athletic Bilbao B0-0Unionistas de Salamanca CF
Athletic Bilbao B0-1Unionistas de Salamanca CF
Unionistas de Salamanca CF3-2Athletic Bilbao B
Unionistas de Salamanca CF0-1Athletic Bilbao B
Athletic Bilbao B0-1Unionistas de Salamanca CF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Unionistas de Salamanca CF 1493 · Athletic Bilbao B 1515

	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	Draw	Athletic Bilbao B
Our model	33%	29%	38%
Market	33%	28%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Unionistas de Salamanca CF: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	Athletic Bilbao B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.5	2.8 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.5	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.25

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:19 +6’	2.70	3.25	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Unionistas de Salamanca CF 3–2–1 Athletic Bilbao B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	1-1 HT 0-0	Athletic Bilbao B
01/11/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Athletic Bilbao B	0-0 HT 0-0	Unionistas de Salamanca CF
10/05/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Athletic Bilbao B	0-1 HT 0-0	Unionistas de Salamanca CF
31/08/24 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	3-2 HT 1-1	Athletic Bilbao B
06/03/22 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	0-1 HT 0-1	Athletic Bilbao B
17/09/21 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Athletic Bilbao B	0-1 HT 0-0	Unionistas de Salamanca CF

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lugo	8	7	1	0	15	4	22
2	UD Logrones	8	5	2	1	17	11	17
3	Racing Ferrol	8	5	1	2	9	5	16
4	Merida	8	4	0	4	15	12	12
5	Athletic Bilbao B	8	3	3	2	13	10	12
6	Zamora CF	8	3	3	2	10	8	12
7	Cultural Leonesa	8	3	3	2	9	7	12
8	Cacereno	8	3	3	2	7	5	12
9	Ponferradina	8	3	3	2	6	6	12
10	Real Aviles CF	8	3	2	3	14	10	11
11	Mirandes	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
11	Pontevedra	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
13	Real Unión	8	2	4	2	15	13	10
14	CD Extremadura	8	3	1	4	11	10	10
15	Barakaldo	8	2	3	3	8	10	9
16	Deportivo Fabril	8	2	2	4	8	11	8
17	CD Coria	8	2	2	4	12	16	8
18	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	8	2	1	5	10	14	7
19	UD Ourense	8	1	2	5	3	13	5
20	Arenas Club de Getxo	8	0	2	6	5	22	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	Athletic Bilbao B
Real Aviles CF	1-3 L	2-1 W
Real Unión	2-4 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Athletic Bilbao B (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Unionistas de Salamanca CF

DWLLLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Racing Ferrol Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
10/10	Cacereno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
03/10	Cultural Leonesa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
27/09	Mirandes Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
19/09	UD Ourense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	3-1	5	6	W
12/09	Real Aviles CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	1-3	4	6	L
05/09	Real Unión Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	2-4	4	5	L
30/08	Lugo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	1-3	3	6	L
23/05	Racing Ferrol Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	3-2	2	5	W
17/05	Merida Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	1-1	4	8	D

Athletic Bilbao B

WLDWWDWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	CD Coria Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	1-2	3	7	L
11/10	Real Unión Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
04/10	CD Extremadura Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-2	1-3	8	7	L
26/09	Arenas Club de Getxo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
20/09	Deportivo Fabril Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
12/09	Pontevedra Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
06/09	Real Aviles CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
29/08	Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
23/05	Ponferradina Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
17/05	CD Guadalajara Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	2-1	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Unionistas de Salamanca CF vs Athletic Bilbao B?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Athletic Bilbao B win (39%). Probabilities: Unionistas de Salamanca CF 33%, draw 28%, Athletic Bilbao B 39%.

How many goals are expected in Unionistas de Salamanca CF vs Athletic Bilbao B?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Unionistas de Salamanca CF 1.21 · Athletic Bilbao B 1.33), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Unionistas de Salamanca CF vs Athletic Bilbao B?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.