Prediction: Arenas Club de Getxo vs Deportivo Fabril

Team pages: Arenas Club de Getxo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Arenas Club de Getxo1.6
Deportivo Fabril1.36
1X2
42% 27% 31%
Arenas Club de Getxo Draw Deportivo Fabril
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Arenas Club de Getxo 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DLLLLDLLWW
Deportivo Fabril 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDWDWLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arenas Club de Getxo 1449 · Deportivo Fabril 1479
Arenas Club de GetxoDrawDeportivo Fabril
Our model42%27%31%
Market42%27%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Arenas Club de GetxoDeportivo Fabril
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 2.21.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.90.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.22.2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.64 / 0.1

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Lugo 11911 19928
2 UD Logrones 10622 201320
3 Real Aviles CF 11524 231517
4 Mirandes 10523 131017
5 Racing Ferrol 10523 9717
6 CD Extremadura 11515 211516
7 Athletic Bilbao B 10433 171315
8 Pontevedra 10433 121115
9 Cacereno 11434 9915
10 Ponferradina 10352 6614
11 Real Unión 10343 191713
12 Merida 10415 161413
13 Cultural Leonesa 10334 101012
14 Zamora CF 10334 111212
15 Barakaldo 10253 81011
16 Deportivo Fabril 10325 111711
17 Unionistas de Salamanca CF 10316 121810
18 CD Coria 10235 12179
19 UD Ourense 10226 4158
20 Arenas Club de Getxo 10226 8228

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentArenas Club de GetxoDeportivo Fabril
Merida 0-4 L 0-1 L
Athletic Bilbao B 0-3 L 2-2 D
Cacereno 0-3 L 1-1 D
Zamora CF 1-2 L 3-1 W
Racing Ferrol 1-1 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 4 L 1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Fabril (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arenas Club de Getxo

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 CD Coria
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 1-0 38 W
24/10 UD Ourense
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
1-0 2-0 47 W
18/10 Merida
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
0-2 0-4 47 L
12/10 Cultural Leonesa
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
0-2 1-4 35 L
03/10 Barakaldo
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 1-1 77 D
26/09 Athletic Bilbao B
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 0-3 23 L
20/09 Cacereno
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 0-3 36 L
13/09 Zamora CF
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
1-2 1-2 73 L
05/09 Pontevedra
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 1-4 34 L
29/08 Racing Ferrol
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 1-1 61 D

Deportivo Fabril

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Zamora CF
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
1-0 3-1 42 W
24/10 CD Extremadura
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
0-3 0-5 52 L
17/10 Lugo
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 0-3 –– L
10/10 Racing Ferrol
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 0-1 117 L
04/10 UD Logrones
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
1-1 1-2 16 L
26/09 Real Unión
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 2-0 35 W
20/09 Athletic Bilbao B
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
1-1 2-2 73 D
13/09 Ponferradina
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 2-1 65 W
06/09 Cacereno
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 1-1 62 D
29/08 Merida
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 0-1 35 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arenas Club de Getxo vs Deportivo Fabril?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Arenas Club de Getxo win (42%). Probabilities: Arenas Club de Getxo 42%, draw 27%, Deportivo Fabril 31%.

How many goals are expected in Arenas Club de Getxo vs Deportivo Fabril?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Arenas Club de Getxo 1.6 · Deportivo Fabril 1.36), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Arenas Club de Getxo vs Deportivo Fabril?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.