Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · 14/11, 18:45

Prediction: CD Coria vs Unionistas de Salamanca CF

Team pages: CD Coria · Unionistas de Salamanca CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

CD Coria1.44

Unionistas de Salamanca CF1.06

1X2

45% 28% 27%

CD Coria Draw Unionistas de Salamanca CF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Coria 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDDLLWDLW

Unionistas de Salamanca CF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDLWLW

Head-to-head

CD Coria 1–0 Unionistas de Salamanca CF (1 last)

Unionistas de Salamanca CF0-2CD Coria

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Coria 1505 · Unionistas de Salamanca CF 1482

	CD Coria	Draw	Unionistas de Salamanca CF
Our model	44%	29%	27%
Market	45%	28%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Coria	Unionistas de Salamanca CF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.1	2.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.25

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:10 +6’	2.00	3.25	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Coria 1–0–0 Unionistas de Salamanca CF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/08/26 Europe Friendlies	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	0-2 HT 0-1	CD Coria

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lugo	11	9	1	1	19	9	28
2	UD Logrones	11	7	2	2	22	14	23
3	Pontevedra	11	5	3	3	13	11	18
4	Real Aviles CF	11	5	2	4	23	15	17
5	Mirandes	11	5	2	4	13	12	17
6	Racing Ferrol	11	5	2	4	10	9	17
7	CD Extremadura	11	5	1	5	21	15	16
8	Merida	11	5	1	5	18	14	16
9	Athletic Bilbao B	11	4	3	4	17	15	15
10	Cacereno	11	4	3	4	9	9	15
11	Ponferradina	11	3	6	2	7	7	15
12	Barakaldo	11	3	5	3	10	10	14
13	Real Unión	11	3	4	4	19	19	13
14	Cultural Leonesa	11	3	4	4	11	11	13
15	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	11	4	1	6	13	18	13
16	Zamora CF	11	3	3	5	11	13	12
17	CD Coria	11	3	3	5	14	17	12
18	Deportivo Fabril	11	3	2	6	12	19	11
19	Arenas Club de Getxo	11	3	2	6	10	23	11
20	UD Ourense	11	2	2	7	4	16	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Coria	Unionistas de Salamanca CF
Mirandes	2-0 W	0-1 L
Athletic Bilbao B	2-1 W	2-1 W
CD Extremadura	2-4 L	0-3 L
Zamora CF	0-2 L	1-0 W
Cultural Leonesa	2-2 D	2-0 W
Real Aviles CF	1-1 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD Coria (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Coria

WLDDLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Mirandes Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	2-0	2	8	W
01/11	Arenas Club de Getxo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
25/10	Merida Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
18/10	Athletic Bilbao B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	2-1	0	7	W
10/10	CD Extremadura Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	2-0	2-4	–	–	L
04/10	Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-2	1	7	L
26/09	Cultural Leonesa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-2	2-2	5	4	D
19/09	Real Aviles CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
13/09	Lugo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
05/09	Barakaldo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	2-1	4-1	5	6	W

Unionistas de Salamanca CF

LLWLWDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
01/11	CD Extremadura Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-3	6	7	L
24/10	Athletic Bilbao B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
17/10	Racing Ferrol Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
10/10	Cacereno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
03/10	Cultural Leonesa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
27/09	Mirandes Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
19/09	UD Ourense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	3-1	5	6	W
12/09	Real Aviles CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	1-3	4	6	L
05/09	Real Unión Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	2-4	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Coria vs Unionistas de Salamanca CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Coria win (45%). Probabilities: CD Coria 45%, draw 28%, Unionistas de Salamanca CF 27%.

How many goals are expected in CD Coria vs Unionistas de Salamanca CF?

The model expects 2.5 goals (CD Coria 1.44 · Unionistas de Salamanca CF 1.06), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Coria vs Unionistas de Salamanca CF?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.