Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · 08/11, 18:15
Prediction: Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina
Team pages: Ponferradina
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.76Total
Cultural Leonesa1.04
Ponferradina0.72
1X2
Cultural Leonesa
Draw
Ponferradina
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Cultural Leonesa
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Ponferradina
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cultural Leonesa
2–3–1
Ponferradina
(6 last)
- Ponferradina2-1Cultural Leonesa
- Cultural Leonesa2-0Ponferradina
- Cultural Leonesa0-0Ponferradina
- Ponferradina1-2Cultural Leonesa
- Cultural Leonesa1-1Ponferradina
- Ponferradina0-0Cultural Leonesa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cultural Leonesa 1498 · Ponferradina 1507
| Cultural Leonesa | Draw | Ponferradina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 35% | 24% |
| Market | 44% | 30% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.76 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cultural Leonesa: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cultural Leonesa | Ponferradina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0 | 0.3 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.1 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cultural Leonesa 2–3–1 Ponferradina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 | Ponferradina | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Cultural Leonesa |
| 27/10/24 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 | Cultural Leonesa | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Ponferradina |
| 18/02/24 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 | Cultural Leonesa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ponferradina |
| 29/10/23 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 | Ponferradina | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Cultural Leonesa |
| 07/04/19 Spain Segunda B Group 1 | Cultural Leonesa | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Ponferradina |
| 18/11/18 Spain Segunda B Group 1 | Ponferradina | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cultural Leonesa |
Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | UD Logrones | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Real Aviles CF | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | Mirandes | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Racing Ferrol | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | CD Extremadura | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 16 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao B | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 15 |
| 9 | Cacereno | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 15 |
| 10 | Barakaldo | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
| 11 | Ponferradina | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
| 12 | Merida | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Unión | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 13 |
| 14 | Unionistas de Salamanca CF | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 13 |
| 15 | Cultural Leonesa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 16 | Zamora CF | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| 17 | Deportivo Fabril | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
| 18 | CD Coria | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 8 |
| 20 | Arenas Club de Getxo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cultural Leonesa | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| UD Ourense | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Pontevedra | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Merida | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Barakaldo | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ponferradina (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cultural Leonesa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | UD Ourense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 24/10 | Pontevedra Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | UD Logrones Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 12/10 | Arenas Club de Getxo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Unionistas de Salamanca CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | CD Coria Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | CD Extremadura Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Cacereno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Merida Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Barakaldo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Ponferradina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Racing Ferrol Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 24/10 | Barakaldo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/10 | Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/10 | Real Aviles CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 04/10 | Mirandes Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Pontevedra Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | Merida Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Fabril Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | Lugo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | UD Ourense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cultural Leonesa win (43%). Probabilities: Cultural Leonesa 43%, draw 32%, Ponferradina 25%.
How many goals are expected in Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina?
The model expects 1.76 goals (Cultural Leonesa 1.04 · Ponferradina 0.72), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.