Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: Racing Ferrol vs UD Logrones

Team pages: Racing Ferrol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.32Total

Racing Ferrol1.19

UD Logrones1.13

1X2

37% 30% 34%

Racing Ferrol Draw UD Logrones

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Racing Ferrol 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWLWWWLD

UD Logrones 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWLDWL

Head-to-head

Racing Ferrol 3–3 UD Logrones (6 last)

UD Logrones1-2Racing Ferrol
Racing Ferrol0-1UD Logrones
UD Logrones2-1Racing Ferrol
Racing Ferrol2-1UD Logrones
Racing Ferrol1-0UD Logrones
UD Logrones2-1Racing Ferrol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Racing Ferrol 1526 · UD Logrones 1561

	Racing Ferrol	Draw	UD Logrones
Our model	36%	31%	33%
Market	37%	29%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Racing Ferrol	UD Logrones
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.7	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.6	3.4 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	5.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.10

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +3’	2.40	3.10	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Ferrol 3–0–3 UD Logrones

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/04/22 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	UD Logrones	1-2 HT 0-0	Racing Ferrol
23/01/22 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Racing Ferrol	0-1 HT 0-0	UD Logrones
17/01/16 Spain Segunda B Group 1	UD Logrones	2-1	Racing Ferrol
30/08/15 Spain Segunda B Group 1	Racing Ferrol	2-1	UD Logrones
19/04/15 Spain Segunda B Group 1	Racing Ferrol	1-0	UD Logrones
30/11/14 Spain Segunda B Group 1	UD Logrones	2-1	Racing Ferrol

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lugo	10	8	1	1	18	9	25
2	UD Logrones	10	6	2	2	20	13	20
3	Mirandes	10	5	2	3	13	10	17
4	Racing Ferrol	10	5	2	3	9	7	17
5	CD Extremadura	10	5	1	4	19	10	16
6	Athletic Bilbao B	10	4	3	3	17	13	15
7	Pontevedra	10	4	3	3	12	11	15
8	Cacereno	10	4	3	3	9	8	15
9	Real Aviles CF	10	4	2	4	18	13	14
10	Ponferradina	10	3	5	2	6	6	14
11	Real Unión	10	3	4	3	19	17	13
12	Merida	10	4	1	5	16	14	13
13	Cultural Leonesa	10	3	3	4	10	10	12
14	Zamora CF	10	3	3	4	11	12	12
15	Barakaldo	10	2	5	3	8	10	11
16	Deportivo Fabril	10	3	2	5	11	17	11
17	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	10	3	1	6	12	18	10
18	CD Coria	10	2	3	5	12	17	9
19	UD Ourense	10	2	2	6	4	15	8
20	Arenas Club de Getxo	10	2	2	6	8	22	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Racing Ferrol	UD Logrones
Mirandes	0-2 L	0-1 L
Deportivo Fabril	1-0 W	2-1 W
Pontevedra	2-0 W	1-1 D
Lugo	0-1 L	1-3 L
CD Extremadura	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing Ferrol

DLWWLWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Ponferradina Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-0	12	8	D
24/10	Mirandes Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
17/10	Unionistas de Salamanca CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
10/10	Deportivo Fabril Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
03/10	Pontevedra Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
26/09	Lugo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	13	7	L
19/09	Barakaldo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-0	10	5	W
13/09	Real Unión Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	3-2	3	2	W
06/09	CD Extremadura Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
29/08	Arenas Club de Getxo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	1-1	4	1	D

UD Logrones

WWWDWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Mirandes Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
24/10	Real Aviles CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	3-1	5	5	W
18/10	Cultural Leonesa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-1	10	7	D
12/10	Lugo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-2	1-3	5	7	L
04/10	Deportivo Fabril Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
27/09	Merida Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	2-1	5-3	6	7	W
18/09	Pontevedra Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
12/09	UD Ourense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	3-0	4	6	W
06/09	Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
31/08	CD Extremadura Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	2-1	7	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Ferrol vs UD Logrones?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Ferrol win (37%). Probabilities: Racing Ferrol 37%, draw 30%, UD Logrones 34%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Ferrol vs UD Logrones?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Racing Ferrol 1.19 · UD Logrones 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Ferrol vs UD Logrones?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.