Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · 08/11, 18:15
Prediction: Mirandes vs CD Coria
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Mirandes1.84
CD Coria0.93
1X2
Mirandes
Draw
CD Coria
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Mirandes
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
CD Coria
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mirandes 1532 · CD Coria 1465
| Mirandes | Draw | CD Coria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 25% | 17% |
| Market | 58% | 25% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mirandes (rating 1532 vs 1465).
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mirandes | CD Coria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.2 | 1.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | UD Logrones | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Real Aviles CF | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | Mirandes | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Racing Ferrol | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | CD Extremadura | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 16 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao B | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 15 |
| 9 | Cacereno | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 15 |
| 10 | Barakaldo | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
| 11 | Ponferradina | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
| 12 | Merida | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Unión | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 13 |
| 14 | Unionistas de Salamanca CF | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 13 |
| 15 | Cultural Leonesa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 16 | Zamora CF | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| 17 | Deportivo Fabril | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
| 18 | CD Coria | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 8 |
| 20 | Arenas Club de Getxo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mirandes | CD Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Barakaldo | 0-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Zamora CF | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Real Unión | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Merida | 4-3 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Mirandes (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mirandes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | UD Logrones Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/10 | Racing Ferrol Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Barakaldo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 10/10 | Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 04/10 | Ponferradina Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Unionistas de Salamanca CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Real Unión Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Merida Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | UD Ourense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | Cacereno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
CD Coria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Arenas Club de Getxo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 25/10 | Merida Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 18/10 | Athletic Bilbao B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | CD Extremadura Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-0 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | Cultural Leonesa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Real Aviles CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Lugo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Barakaldo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Real Unión Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mirandes vs CD Coria?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mirandes win (58%). Probabilities: Mirandes 58%, draw 25%, CD Coria 17%.
How many goals are expected in Mirandes vs CD Coria?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Mirandes 1.84 · CD Coria 0.93), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Mirandes vs CD Coria?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.