Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · 07/11, 18:45

Prediction: Unionistas de Salamanca CF vs Zamora CF

Team pages: Unionistas de Salamanca CF · Zamora CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

Unionistas de Salamanca CF1.14

Zamora CF1.3

1X2

32% 29% 39%

Unionistas de Salamanca CF Draw Zamora CF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Unionistas de Salamanca CF 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Zamora CF 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWDDLL

Head-to-head

Unionistas de Salamanca CF 3–2–1 Zamora CF (6 last)

Zamora CF2-3Unionistas de Salamanca CF
Unionistas de Salamanca CF0-0Zamora CF
Zamora CF1-0Unionistas de Salamanca CF
Unionistas de Salamanca CF1-1Zamora CF
Unionistas de Salamanca CF2-0Zamora CF
Zamora CF0-5Unionistas de Salamanca CF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Unionistas de Salamanca CF 1479 · Zamora CF 1488

	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	Draw	Zamora CF
Our model	31%	30%	39%
Market	32%	28%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Unionistas de Salamanca CF: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	Zamora CF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.8	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.7	1.2 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.6	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.20

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:13 +6’	2.80	3.20	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Unionistas de Salamanca CF 3–2–1 Zamora CF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Zamora CF	2-3 HT 1-0	Unionistas de Salamanca CF
11/01/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	0-0 HT 0-0	Zamora CF
30/03/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Zamora CF	1-0 HT 0-0	Unionistas de Salamanca CF
16/11/24 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	1-1 HT 0-0	Zamora CF
31/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	2-0 HT 1-0	Zamora CF
05/08/23 Europe Friendlies	Zamora CF	0-5 HT 0-2	Unionistas de Salamanca CF

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lugo	10	8	1	1	18	9	25
2	UD Logrones	10	6	2	2	20	13	20
3	Mirandes	10	5	2	3	13	10	17
4	Racing Ferrol	10	5	2	3	9	7	17
5	CD Extremadura	10	5	1	4	19	10	16
6	Athletic Bilbao B	10	4	3	3	17	13	15
7	Pontevedra	10	4	3	3	12	11	15
8	Cacereno	10	4	3	3	9	8	15
9	Real Aviles CF	10	4	2	4	18	13	14
10	Ponferradina	10	3	5	2	6	6	14
11	Real Unión	10	3	4	3	19	17	13
12	Merida	10	4	1	5	16	14	13
13	Cultural Leonesa	10	3	3	4	10	10	12
14	Zamora CF	10	3	3	4	11	12	12
15	Barakaldo	10	2	5	3	8	10	11
16	Deportivo Fabril	10	3	2	5	11	17	11
17	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	10	3	1	6	12	18	10
18	CD Coria	10	2	3	5	12	17	9
19	UD Ourense	10	2	2	6	4	15	8
20	Arenas Club de Getxo	10	2	2	6	8	22	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	Zamora CF
CD Extremadura	0-3 L	1-0 W
Athletic Bilbao B	2-1 W	1-1 D
Cacereno	1-1 D	0-1 L
Mirandes	0-1 L	1-1 D
Lugo	1-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Zamora CF (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Unionistas de Salamanca CF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	CD Extremadura Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-3	6	7	L
24/10	Athletic Bilbao B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
17/10	Racing Ferrol Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
10/10	Cacereno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
03/10	Cultural Leonesa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
27/09	Mirandes Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
19/09	UD Ourense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	3-1	5	6	W
12/09	Real Aviles CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	1-3	4	6	L
05/09	Real Unión Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	2-4	4	5	L
30/08	Lugo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	1-3	3	6	L

Zamora CF

DLWLWWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Deportivo Fabril Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	1-3	4	2	L
24/10	Cacereno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
17/10	Ponferradina Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
10/10	Mirandes Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
04/10	CD Coria Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
26/09	CD Extremadura Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
20/09	Lugo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-2	1-2	1	6	L
13/09	Arenas Club de Getxo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	2-1	2-1	2	3	W
06/09	UD Logrones Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
29/08	Athletic Bilbao B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-1	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Unionistas de Salamanca CF vs Zamora CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Zamora CF win (39%). Probabilities: Unionistas de Salamanca CF 32%, draw 29%, Zamora CF 39%.

How many goals are expected in Unionistas de Salamanca CF vs Zamora CF?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Unionistas de Salamanca CF 1.14 · Zamora CF 1.3), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Unionistas de Salamanca CF vs Zamora CF?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.