Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 04/07, 15:00

Prediction: KTP (W) vs PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)

Expected goals: 3.4 (KTP (W) 2.1 · PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1.3). The model gives 54% home, 24% draw, 22% away. Over 2.75 goals (55%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves KTP (W) with 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) has piled up 4-0-6 in the same span.

54%1
54% 24% 22%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KTP (W) 1457 · PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1467
KTP (W)DrawPK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Our model55%23%22%
Market54%25%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.4KTP (W) 2.1 · PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1.3
Over / Under 2.75Over 2.75 · 55%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KTP (W)PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 2.71.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.31 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.12.7 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 0.11.4 / 0.1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKTP (W)PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
FC Lahti (W) 2-6 L 2-1 W
JyPK (W) 3-1 W 3-2 W
HJK II (W) 2-4 L 0-1 L
HJS (W) 0-4 L 2-1 W
FC Honka (W) 0-1 L 0-2 L
EBK (W) 1-4 L 1-3 L
TPS (W) 2-1 W 3-1 W
ONS (W) 3-2 W 0-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 5 L 4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KTP (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/06 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 2-6 11 L
13/06 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 3-1 92 W
10/06 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-3 2-4 62 L
02/06 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-3 0-4 13 L
27/05 FC Honka (W)
Finland Cup Women
0-1 0-1 40 L
23/05 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-3 1-4 55 L
17/05 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 2-1 42 W
14/05 JaPS (W)
Finland Cup Women
2-0 2-0 30 W
02/05 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
3-1 3-2 45 W
11/04 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 1-4 41 L

PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)

LWLLWLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/06 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 0-1 85 L
27/06 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-3 20 L
14/06 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-0 2-1 11 W
23/05 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-0 3-2 61 W
17/05 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-2 1-3 30 L
09/05 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 3-1 71 W
18/04 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 1-4 90 L
04/04 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-2 54 L
26/03 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-0 2-1 82 W
22/03 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 1-2 51 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KTP (W) vs PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KTP (W) win (54%). Probabilities: KTP (W) 54%, draw 24%, PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 22%.

How many goals are expected in KTP (W) vs PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)?

The model expects 3.4 goals (KTP (W) 2.1 · PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1.3), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KTP (W) vs PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.