Prediction: HJK II (W) vs ONS (W)
Expected goals: 2.99 (HJK II (W) 1.84 · ONS (W) 1.15). The model gives 53% home, 24% draw, 23% away. Under 3 goals (54%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, HJK II (W) sits at 6-0-4 (W-D-L), while ONS (W) arrives on a 4-1-5 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, HJK II (W) won 1 and ONS (W) 2.
| HJK II (W) | Draw | ONS (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJK II (W) (rating 1537 vs 1483).
- H2H favours ONS (W): 2-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HJK II (W) | ONS (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.1 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HJK II (W) 1–0–2 ONS (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Finland Ykkonen Women | ONS (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | HJK II (W) |
| 05/07/25 Finland Ykkonen Women | HJK II (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | ONS (W) |
| 04/05/25 Finland Ykkonen Women | ONS (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | HJK II (W) |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HJK II (W) | ONS (W) |
|---|---|---|
| PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Honka (W) | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| TPS (W) | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| KTP (W) | 4-2 W | 2-3 L |
| EBK (W) | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| FC Lahti (W) | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| HJS (W) | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| JyPK (W) | 5-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: HJK II (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HJK II (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 24/06 | TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 10/06 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
3-0 | 4-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | FC Lahti (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/04 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
ONS (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | FC Lahti (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | HJK II (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HJK II (W) vs ONS (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HJK II (W) win (53%). Probabilities: HJK II (W) 53%, draw 24%, ONS (W) 23%.
How many goals are expected in HJK II (W) vs ONS (W)?
The model expects 2.99 goals (HJK II (W) 1.84 · ONS (W) 1.15), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in HJK II (W) vs ONS (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.