Football · Wales Championship North · 09/10, 20:45

Prediction: Ruthin Town FC vs Rhyl

Team pages: Ruthin Town FC · Rhyl

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Ruthin Town FC1.46

Rhyl1.87

1X2

29% 24% 47%

Ruthin Town FC Draw Rhyl

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Ruthin Town FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLLLWD

Rhyl 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWDDLL

Head-to-head

Ruthin Town FC 1–1–4 Rhyl (6 last)

Rhyl3-2Ruthin Town FC
Ruthin Town FC0-0Rhyl
Rhyl4-0Ruthin Town FC
Rhyl0-2Ruthin Town FC
Ruthin Town FC1-2Rhyl
Rhyl4-2Ruthin Town FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ruthin Town FC 1423 · Rhyl 1464

	Ruthin Town FC	Draw	Rhyl
Our model	29%	24%	46%
Market	30%	23%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rhyl (rating 1423 vs 1464).
H2H favours Rhyl: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ruthin Town FC	Rhyl
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2	1.7 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.2	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	2.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.80

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:52 +2’	3.00	3.80	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ruthin Town FC 1–1–4 Rhyl

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Wales Championship North	Rhyl	3-2 HT 1-2	Ruthin Town FC
05/09/25 Wales Championship North	Ruthin Town FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Rhyl
14/07/23 Club Friendly List	Rhyl	4-0 HT 2-0	Ruthin Town FC
08/10/22 Wales Cup	Rhyl	0-2 HT 0-0	Ruthin Town FC
11/01/20 Wales Championship North	Ruthin Town FC	1-2	Rhyl
10/09/19 Wales Championship North	Rhyl	4-2	Ruthin Town FC

Standings · Wales Championship North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	10	9	0	1	26	6	27
2	Newtown	9	7	1	1	18	3	22
3	Mold Alexandra	10	6	2	2	24	13	20
4	Porthmadog	10	6	2	2	17	11	20
5	Bala Town	10	6	1	3	20	17	19
6	Caersws	9	5	2	2	21	14	17
7	Bangor 1876 FC	10	5	1	4	23	18	16
8	Guilsfield	10	4	4	2	16	12	16
9	Buckley Town	10	3	3	4	22	17	12
10	CPD Llanuwchllyn	9	3	1	5	13	23	10
11	Rhyl	9	2	3	4	17	19	9
12	Ruthin Town FC	10	2	2	6	9	20	8
13	Denbigh Town	10	2	1	7	18	23	7
14	Holyhead Hotspur	9	2	1	6	11	18	7
15	Gresford Ath	9	2	1	6	6	21	7
16	Penrhyncoch	10	0	1	9	4	30	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ruthin Town FC	Rhyl
Buckley Town	1-1 D	3-3 D
Penrhyncoch	2-0 W	0-3 L
Porthmadog	0-3 L	0-1 L
Caersws	0-3 L	4-2 W
Brickfield Rangers	0-2 L	2-3 L
Guilsfield	2-2 D	1-1 D
Denbigh Town	2-1 W	3-1 W
Bala Town	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Rhyl (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ruthin Town FC

LLWDLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Buckley Town Wales Championship North	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
25/09	Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
12/09	Porthmadog Wales Championship North	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
04/09	Caersws Wales Championship North	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
31/08	Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
28/08	Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
22/08	Guilsfield Wales Championship North	1-1	2-2	5	6	D
14/08	Denbigh Town Wales Championship North	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
07/08	Bala Town Wales Championship North	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
31/07	Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North	0-1	1-2	5	5	L

Rhyl

LDLWLWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
26/09	Gresford Ath Wales Championship North	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	Buckley Town Wales Championship North	2-2	3-3	5	2	D
05/09	Bangor 1876 FC Wales Championship North	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Denbigh Town Wales Championship North	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
28/08	Bala Town Wales Championship North	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	Caersws Wales Championship North	2-0	4-2	–	–	W
08/08	Porthmadog Wales Championship North	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
01/08	Guilsfield Wales Championship North	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
18/04	Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North	0-1	0-3	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ruthin Town FC vs Rhyl?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rhyl win (47%). Probabilities: Ruthin Town FC 29%, draw 24%, Rhyl 47%.

How many goals are expected in Ruthin Town FC vs Rhyl?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Ruthin Town FC 1.46 · Rhyl 1.87), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ruthin Town FC vs Rhyl?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.