Prediction: Newtown vs Bangor 1876 FC
Team pages: Newtown
| Newtown | Draw | Bangor 1876 FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| Market | 60% | 21% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Newtown (rating 1587 vs 1510).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Newtown | Bangor 1876 FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.5 | 2.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 2.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0 |
Standings · Wales Championship North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
| 3 | Mold Alexandra | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 13 | 20 |
| 4 | Porthmadog | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 19 |
| 6 | Caersws | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | Bangor 1876 FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 16 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 12 |
| 10 | CPD Llanuwchllyn | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 10 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 9 |
| 12 | Ruthin Town FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 8 |
| 13 | Denbigh Town | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 7 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 7 |
| 15 | Gresford Ath | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 30 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Newtown | Bangor 1876 FC |
|---|---|---|
| Mold Alexandra | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Porthmadog | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Holyhead Hotspur | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Denbigh Town | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Bala Town | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| CPD Llanuwchllyn | 4-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Penrhyncoch | 5-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Newtown (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Newtown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 26/09 | Porthmadog Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Bala Town Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/08 | CPD Llanuwchllyn Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 02/08 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
Bangor 1876 FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Porthmadog Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/09 | Buckley Town Wales Championship North |
2-3 | 2-6 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North |
4-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Rhyl Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 31/08 | Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/08 | Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | CPD Llanuwchllyn Wales Championship North |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | Bala Town Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Newtown vs Bangor 1876 FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Newtown win (60%). Probabilities: Newtown 60%, draw 22%, Bangor 1876 FC 19%.
How many goals are expected in Newtown vs Bangor 1876 FC?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Newtown 2.15 · Bangor 1876 FC 1.14), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Newtown vs Bangor 1876 FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.