Football · Wales Championship North · 10/10, 15:30

Prediction: Brickfield Rangers vs Mold Alexandra

Team pages: Brickfield Rangers · Mold Alexandra

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Brickfield Rangers1.86

Mold Alexandra1.28

1X2

51% 24% 26%

Brickfield Rangers Draw Mold Alexandra

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Brickfield Rangers 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWWW

Mold Alexandra 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Brickfield Rangers 0–2 Mold Alexandra (2 last)

Mold Alexandra2-1Brickfield Rangers
Brickfield Rangers0-1Mold Alexandra

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brickfield Rangers 1604 · Mold Alexandra 1561

	Brickfield Rangers	Draw	Mold Alexandra
Our model	50%	25%	25%
Market	51%	23%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brickfield Rangers (rating 1604 vs 1561).
H2H favours Mold Alexandra: 2-0-0.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brickfield Rangers	Mold Alexandra
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.6	2.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.1	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.8	2.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.90

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:01 +6’	1.75	3.90	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Brickfield Rangers 0–0–2 Mold Alexandra

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Wales Championship North	Mold Alexandra	2-1 HT 0-1	Brickfield Rangers
13/09/25 Wales Championship North	Brickfield Rangers	0-1 HT 0-0	Mold Alexandra

Standings · Wales Championship North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	10	9	0	1	26	6	27
2	Newtown	9	7	1	1	18	3	22
3	Mold Alexandra	10	6	2	2	24	13	20
4	Porthmadog	10	6	2	2	17	11	20
5	Bala Town	10	6	1	3	20	17	19
6	Caersws	9	5	2	2	21	14	17
7	Bangor 1876 FC	10	5	1	4	23	18	16
8	Guilsfield	10	4	4	2	16	12	16
9	Buckley Town	10	3	3	4	22	17	12
10	CPD Llanuwchllyn	9	3	1	5	13	23	10
11	Rhyl	9	2	3	4	17	19	9
12	Ruthin Town FC	10	2	2	6	9	20	8
13	Denbigh Town	10	2	1	7	18	23	7
14	Holyhead Hotspur	9	2	1	6	11	18	7
15	Gresford Ath	9	2	1	6	6	21	7
16	Penrhyncoch	10	0	1	9	4	30	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brickfield Rangers	Mold Alexandra
Caersws	2-0 W	2-2 D
Guilsfield	2-0 W	2-3 L
Ruthin Town FC	2-0 W	4-0 W
Bangor 1876 FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Gresford Ath	5-0 W	5-1 W
Holyhead Hotspur	2-1 W	1-0 W
CPD Llanuwchllyn	5-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Brickfield Rangers (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brickfield Rangers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Rhyl Wales Championship North	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
26/09	Denbigh Town Wales Championship North	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Caersws Wales Championship North	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
05/09	Guilsfield Wales Championship North	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
28/08	Bangor 1876 FC Wales Championship North	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
16/08	Gresford Ath Wales Championship North	1-0	5-0	8	4	W
08/08	Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
01/08	CPD Llanuwchllyn Wales Championship North	2-0	5-1	11	1	W

Mold Alexandra

DLWWWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Newtown Wales Championship North	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
26/09	Bala Town Wales Championship North	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
12/09	CPD Llanuwchllyn Wales Championship North	1-1	2-2	14	4	D
06/09	Gresford Ath Wales Championship North	5-1	5-1	–	–	W
31/08	Bangor 1876 FC Wales Championship North	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
28/08	Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
21/08	Buckley Town Wales Championship North	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
15/08	Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
08/08	Guilsfield Wales Championship North	1-0	2-3	6	3	L
01/08	Caersws Wales Championship North	0-1	2-2	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brickfield Rangers vs Mold Alexandra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brickfield Rangers win (51%). Probabilities: Brickfield Rangers 51%, draw 24%, Mold Alexandra 26%.

How many goals are expected in Brickfield Rangers vs Mold Alexandra?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Brickfield Rangers 1.86 · Mold Alexandra 1.28), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Brickfield Rangers vs Mold Alexandra?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.