Prediction: Valmiera FC vs Leevon PPK
Expected goals: 3.19 (Valmiera FC 2.09 · Leevon PPK 1.1). The model gives 60% home, 22% draw, 19% away. Under 3.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Valmiera FC with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Leevon PPK has piled up 8-2-0 in the same span.
| Valmiera FC | Draw | Leevon PPK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Market | 60% | 21% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Valmiera FC | Leevon PPK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1 | 2.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.8 | 2.9 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 0.6 |
Standings · Latvia 1. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta/LU | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Valmiera FC | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Saldus SS/Leevon | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 20 |
| 6 | SK Super Nova II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| 7 | Marupes SC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 16 |
| 8 | Skanstes SK | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 13 |
| 9 | Riga FC II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 13 |
| 10 | RFS II | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 8 |
| 11 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 8 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 13 | FK Smiltene/BJSS | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 4 |
| 14 | Rezeknes FA | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valmiera FC | Leevon PPK |
|---|---|---|
| JFK Ventspils | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| FK Smiltene/BJSS | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 4-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Skanstes SK | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| SK Super Nova II | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Rezeknes FA | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Marupes SC | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 5 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Valmiera FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valmiera FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 22/06 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia Cup |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Skanstes SK Latvia Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/05 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 8 | W |
Leevon PPK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 28/03 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/11 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valmiera FC vs Leevon PPK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Valmiera FC win (60%). Probabilities: Valmiera FC 60%, draw 22%, Leevon PPK 19%.
How many goals are expected in Valmiera FC vs Leevon PPK?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Valmiera FC 2.09 · Leevon PPK 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Valmiera FC vs Leevon PPK?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.