Prediction: Rezeknes FA vs JFK Ventspils
Expected goals: 3.17 (Rezeknes FA 1.15 · JFK Ventspils 2.03). The model gives 21% home, 22% draw, 57% away. Under 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Rezeknes FA is 1-1-8 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and JFK Ventspils 2-2-6 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Rezeknes FA won 0 and JFK Ventspils 3, with 3 draws.
| Rezeknes FA | Draw | JFK Ventspils | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 21% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JFK Ventspils (rating 1408 vs 1459).
- H2H favours JFK Ventspils: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rezeknes FA | JFK Ventspils | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 3.1 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 3.3 / 8.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rezeknes FA 0–3–3 JFK Ventspils
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/25 Latvia 1. Liga | JFK Ventspils | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Rezeknes FA |
| 07/04/25 Latvia 1. Liga | Rezeknes FA | 0-1 HT 0-0 | JFK Ventspils |
| 11/08/24 Latvia 1. Liga | JFK Ventspils | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Rezeknes FA |
| 15/04/24 Latvia 1. Liga | Rezeknes FA | 2-2 HT 2-1 | JFK Ventspils |
| 06/08/23 Latvia 1. Liga | JFK Ventspils | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Rezeknes FA |
| 08/04/23 Latvia 1. Liga | Rezeknes FA | 0-1 HT 0-1 | JFK Ventspils |
Standings · Latvia 1. Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta/LU | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Valmiera FC | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Saldus SS/Leevon | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 20 |
| 6 | SK Super Nova II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| 7 | Marupes SC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 16 |
| 8 | Skanstes SK | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 13 |
| 9 | Riga FC II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 13 |
| 10 | RFS II | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 8 |
| 11 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 8 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 13 | FK Smiltene/BJSS | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 4 |
| 14 | Rezeknes FA | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rezeknes FA | JFK Ventspils |
|---|---|---|
| RFS II | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Riga FC II | 2-1 W | 2-4 L |
| FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| SK Super Nova II | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Valmiera FC | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Metta/LU | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: JFK Ventspils (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rezeknes FA
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | FK Kekava/Auda Latvia Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-2 | 1-6 | – | – | L |
JFK Ventspils
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia Cup |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 14/06 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/06 | Upesciema Warriors Latvia Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Leevon PPK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-3 | 2-4 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rezeknes FA vs JFK Ventspils?
According to our model, the most likely result is an JFK Ventspils win (57%). Probabilities: Rezeknes FA 21%, draw 22%, JFK Ventspils 57%.
How many goals are expected in Rezeknes FA vs JFK Ventspils?
The model expects 3.17 goals (Rezeknes FA 1.15 · JFK Ventspils 2.03), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Rezeknes FA vs JFK Ventspils?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.