Prediction: RFS II vs SK Super Nova II
Expected goals: 3.14 (RFS II 1.46 · SK Super Nova II 1.68). The model gives 33% home, 25% draw, 42% away. Under 3.25 goals (54%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, RFS II sits at 2-1-7 (W-D-L), while SK Super Nova II arrives on a 4-3-3 run.
| RFS II | Draw | SK Super Nova II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Super Nova II (rating 1438 vs 1509).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RFS II | SK Super Nova II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.2 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.2 | 2.1 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Standings · Latvia 1. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta/LU | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Valmiera FC | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Saldus SS/Leevon | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 20 |
| 6 | SK Super Nova II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| 7 | Marupes SC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 16 |
| 8 | Skanstes SK | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 13 |
| 9 | Riga FC II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 13 |
| 10 | RFS II | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 8 |
| 11 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 8 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 13 | FK Smiltene/BJSS | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 4 |
| 14 | Rezeknes FA | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | RFS II | SK Super Nova II |
|---|---|---|
| Rezeknes FA | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Marupes SC | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Leevon PPK | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Skanstes SK | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| JFK Ventspils | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Metta/LU | 0-3 L | 3-7 L |
| Valmiera FC | 1-5 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: SK Super Nova II (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RFS II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/06 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Leevon PPK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/03 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-5 | 7 | 2 | L |
SK Super Nova II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
0-5 | 3-7 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/05 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Leevon PPK Latvia 1. Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RFS II vs SK Super Nova II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Super Nova II win (42%). Probabilities: RFS II 33%, draw 25%, SK Super Nova II 42%.
How many goals are expected in RFS II vs SK Super Nova II?
The model expects 3.14 goals (RFS II 1.46 · SK Super Nova II 1.68), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in RFS II vs SK Super Nova II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.