Prediction: Metta/LU vs Skanstes SK
Expected goals: 4.22 (Metta/LU 3.11 · Skanstes SK 1.11). The model gives 78% home, 13% draw, 9% away. Over 3.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 3-1.
Recent form leaves Metta/LU with 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Skanstes SK has piled up 4-1-5 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Metta/LU won 2 and Skanstes SK 0.
| Metta/LU | Draw | Skanstes SK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 79% | 13% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metta/LU (rating 1612 vs 1496).
- H2H favours Metta/LU: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 14.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Metta/LU | Skanstes SK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.2 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.7 / 0 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 90/10/0% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 8.6 | 2 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Metta/LU 2–0–0 Skanstes SK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/23 Latvia Play-Offs | Skanstes SK | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Metta/LU |
| 22/11/23 Latvia Virsliga | Metta/LU | 6-1 HT 2-1 | Skanstes SK |
Standings · Latvia 1. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta/LU | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Valmiera FC | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Saldus SS/Leevon | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 20 |
| 6 | SK Super Nova II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| 7 | Marupes SC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 16 |
| 8 | Skanstes SK | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 13 |
| 9 | Riga FC II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 13 |
| 10 | RFS II | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 8 |
| 11 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 8 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 13 | FK Smiltene/BJSS | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 4 |
| 14 | Rezeknes FA | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Metta/LU | Skanstes SK |
|---|---|---|
| SK Super Nova II | 7-3 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| JDFS Alberts | 4-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Valmiera FC | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| FK Smiltene/BJSS | 8-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Rezeknes FA | 5-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Metta/LU (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Metta/LU
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Kekava/Auda Latvia Cup |
3-0 | 5-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
5-0 | 7-3 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | FK Lielupe Latvia Cup |
4-0 | 6-0 | 19 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
5-0 | 8-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 19/04 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
Skanstes SK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Valmiera FC Latvia Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/04 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
2-1 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Metta/LU vs Skanstes SK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Metta/LU win (78%). Probabilities: Metta/LU 78%, draw 13%, Skanstes SK 9%.
How many goals are expected in Metta/LU vs Skanstes SK?
The model expects 4.22 goals (Metta/LU 3.11 · Skanstes SK 1.11), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Metta/LU vs Skanstes SK?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.