Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 11/07, 17:00

Prediction: Skanstes SK vs JFK Ventspils

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Skanstes SK1.67
JFK Ventspils1.26
1X2
47% 25% 28%
Skanstes SK Draw JFK Ventspils
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Skanstes SK 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WDLWWLLLWL
JFK Ventspils 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLDLLWWLLD
Head-to-head
Skanstes SK 4–2–0 JFK Ventspils (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skanstes SK 1485 · JFK Ventspils 1455
Skanstes SKDrawJFK Ventspils
Our model46%26%28%
Market47%24%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Skanstes SK: 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Skanstes SKJFK Ventspils
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.71.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.80.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 5.62.9 / 8.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 05.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skanstes SK 420 JFK Ventspils

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/10/25
Latvia 1. Liga
Skanstes SK0-0
HT 0-0
JFK Ventspils
28/06/25
Latvia 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils2-2
HT 0-1
Skanstes SK
19/10/24
Latvia 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils1-2
HT 1-0
Skanstes SK
29/06/24
Latvia 1. Liga
Skanstes SK3-0
HT 3-0
JFK Ventspils
12/11/23
Latvia 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils0-1
HT 0-0
Skanstes SK
30/07/23
Latvia 1. Liga
Skanstes SK2-1
HT 0-0
JFK Ventspils

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Metta/LU 121011 421131
2 Valmiera FC 12921 321229
3 FK Beitar Riga/Mariners 12840 251028
4 Saldus SS/Leevon 12732 201524
5 JDFS Alberts 12624 252020
6 Marupes SC 12615 221519
7 SK Super Nova II 12543 191719
8 Riga FC II 12516 192216
9 Skanstes SK 11416 202113
10 RFS II 12237 15269
11 FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 12228 16318
12 JFK Ventspils 11146 12207
13 Rezeknes FA 12129 10365
14 FK Smiltene/BJSS 12048 12334

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSkanstes SKJFK Ventspils
Metta/LU 1-3 L 0-1 L
Valmiera FC 0-2 L 0-2 L
RFS II 4-0 W 0-0 D
Riga FC II 2-0 W 2-4 L
SK Super Nova II 1-1 D 1-3 L
Rezeknes FA 6-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Skanstes SK (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skanstes SK

WDLWWLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Metta/LU
Latvia 1. Liga
0-1 1-3 32 L
28/06 FK Smiltene/BJSS
Latvia 1. Liga
1-0 4-2 31 W
14/06 FK Beitar Riga/Mariners
Latvia 1. Liga
0-2 0-2 77 L
30/05 Valmiera FC
Latvia Cup
0-0 0-2 L
24/05 JDFS Alberts
Latvia 1. Liga
0-2 1-4 72 L
10/05 RFS II
Latvia 1. Liga
0-0 4-0 63 W
04/05 Riga FC II
Latvia 1. Liga
0-0 2-0 52 W
27/04 FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
Latvia 1. Liga
0-1 0-2 54 L
19/04 SK Super Nova II
Latvia 1. Liga
0-1 1-1 93 D
11/04 Rezeknes FA
Latvia 1. Liga
2-1 6-1 W

JFK Ventspils

LLDLLWWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Rezeknes FA
Latvia 1. Liga
1-0 1-1 45 D
28/06 Valmiera FC
Latvia 1. Liga
0-0 0-2 55 L
20/06 Saldus SS/Leevon
Latvia Cup
1-2 1-3 67 L
14/06 Marupes SC
Latvia 1. Liga
1-1 2-1 W
01/06 Upesciema Warriors
Latvia Cup
1-0 3-0 114 W
23/05 Leevon PPK
Latvia 1. Liga
1-0 1-2 97 L
09/05 Metta/LU
Latvia 1. Liga
0-1 0-1 85 L
02/05 RFS II
Latvia 1. Liga
0-0 0-0 116 D
26/04 Riga FC II
Latvia 1. Liga
0-3 2-4 144 L
11/04 SK Super Nova II
Latvia 1. Liga
0-1 1-3 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skanstes SK vs JFK Ventspils?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Skanstes SK win (47%). Probabilities: Skanstes SK 47%, draw 25%, JFK Ventspils 28%.

How many goals are expected in Skanstes SK vs JFK Ventspils?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Skanstes SK 1.67 · JFK Ventspils 1.26), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Skanstes SK vs JFK Ventspils?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.