Football · Wales Championship North · 03/10, 15:30
Prediction: Buckley Town vs Ruthin Town FC
Team pages: Buckley Town · Ruthin Town FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.74Total
Buckley Town2.42
Ruthin Town FC1.32
1X2
Buckley Town
Draw
Ruthin Town FC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Buckley Town
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Ruthin Town FC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Buckley Town
2–2–2
Ruthin Town FC
(6 last)
- Ruthin Town FC1-0Buckley Town
- Buckley Town3-2Ruthin Town FC
- Buckley Town0-0Ruthin Town FC
- Ruthin Town FC0-1Buckley Town
- Buckley Town2-2Ruthin Town FC
- Ruthin Town FC4-2Buckley Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Buckley Town 1519 · Ruthin Town FC 1431
| Buckley Town | Draw | Ruthin Town FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 20% | 19% |
| Market | 61% | 20% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Buckley Town (rating 1519 vs 1431).
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Buckley Town | Ruthin Town FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.1 | 1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.3 | 2.2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Buckley Town 2–2–2 Ruthin Town FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Wales Championship North | Ruthin Town FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Buckley Town |
| 15/08/25 Wales Championship North | Buckley Town | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Ruthin Town FC |
| 04/04/25 Wales Championship North | Buckley Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ruthin Town FC |
| 05/10/24 Wales Championship North | Ruthin Town FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Buckley Town |
| 12/01/24 Wales Championship North | Buckley Town | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Ruthin Town FC |
| 24/03/23 Wales Championship North | Ruthin Town FC | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Buckley Town |
Standings · Wales Championship North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 4 | 24 |
| 2 | Mold Alexandra | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Newtown | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 19 |
| 4 | Bala Town | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 18 |
| 5 | Porthmadog | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Caersws | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 16 |
| 7 | Bangor 1876 FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 16 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 11 |
| 10 | CPD Llanuwchllyn | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 10 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 9 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 7 |
| 13 | Ruthin Town FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 7 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 4 |
| 15 | Gresford Ath | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 4 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Buckley Town | Ruthin Town FC |
|---|---|---|
| Penrhyncoch | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Caersws | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Guilsfield | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Mold Alexandra | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Porthmadog | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Denbigh Town | 2-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Holyhead Hotspur | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Buckley Town (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Buckley Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Bangor 1876 FC Wales Championship North |
3-2 | 6-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Rhyl Wales Championship North |
2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Caersws Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/08 | Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Porthmadog Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | CPD Llanuwchllyn Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North |
1-4 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
Ruthin Town FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Porthmadog Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/09 | Caersws Wales Championship North |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/08 | Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 14/08 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 07/08 | Bala Town Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Newtown Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Buckley Town vs Ruthin Town FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Buckley Town win (61%). Probabilities: Buckley Town 61%, draw 20%, Ruthin Town FC 19%.
How many goals are expected in Buckley Town vs Ruthin Town FC?
The model expects 3.74 goals (Buckley Town 2.42 · Ruthin Town FC 1.32), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Buckley Town vs Ruthin Town FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.