Football · Wales Championship North · 03/10, 15:30

Prediction: Rhyl vs Brickfield Rangers

Team pages: Rhyl · Brickfield Rangers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Rhyl1.24

Brickfield Rangers1.6

1X2

29% 25% 45%

Rhyl Draw Brickfield Rangers

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Rhyl 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLWDDL

Brickfield Rangers 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Rhyl 2–1–1 Brickfield Rangers (4 last)

Brickfield Rangers2-1Rhyl
Brickfield Rangers1-2Rhyl
Rhyl1-0Brickfield Rangers
Rhyl0-0Brickfield Rangers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rhyl 1481 · Brickfield Rangers 1593

	Rhyl	Draw	Brickfield Rangers
Our model	28%	27%	45%
Market	30%	24%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brickfield Rangers (rating 1481 vs 1593).
H2H favours Rhyl: 2-1-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rhyl	Brickfield Rangers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.9	2.5 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.8 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.8	2.6 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.80

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:40 +5’	3.00	3.80	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rhyl 2–1–1 Brickfield Rangers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 Wales Cup	Brickfield Rangers	2-1 HT 1-1	Rhyl
17/03/26 Wales Championship North	Brickfield Rangers	1-2 HT 0-1	Rhyl
18/10/25 Wales Cup	Rhyl	1-0 HT 0-0	Brickfield Rangers
25/07/25 Wales Championship North	Rhyl	0-0 HT 0-0	Brickfield Rangers

Standings · Wales Championship North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	9	8	0	1	23	4	24
2	Mold Alexandra	9	6	2	1	23	11	20
3	Newtown	8	6	1	1	16	2	19
4	Bala Town	9	6	0	3	17	14	18
5	Porthmadog	9	5	2	2	16	11	17
6	Caersws	8	5	1	2	18	11	16
7	Bangor 1876 FC	9	5	1	3	23	17	16
8	Guilsfield	9	3	4	2	15	12	13
9	Buckley Town	9	3	2	4	21	16	11
10	CPD Llanuwchllyn	8	3	1	4	13	22	10
11	Rhyl	8	2	3	3	15	16	9
12	Denbigh Town	9	2	1	6	16	19	7
13	Ruthin Town FC	9	2	1	6	8	19	7
14	Holyhead Hotspur	8	1	1	6	7	16	4
15	Gresford Ath	8	1	1	6	5	21	4
16	Penrhyncoch	9	0	1	8	4	29	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rhyl	Brickfield Rangers
Gresford Ath	1-3 L	5-0 W
Bangor 1876 FC	2-2 D	1-2 L
Denbigh Town	3-1 W	2-0 W
Caersws	4-2 W	2-0 W
Guilsfield	1-1 D	2-0 W
Penrhyncoch	0-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Brickfield Rangers (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rhyl

WLDLWLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Gresford Ath Wales Championship North	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	Buckley Town Wales Championship North	2-2	3-3	5	2	D
05/09	Bangor 1876 FC Wales Championship North	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Denbigh Town Wales Championship North	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
28/08	Bala Town Wales Championship North	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	Caersws Wales Championship North	2-0	4-2	–	–	W
08/08	Porthmadog Wales Championship North	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
01/08	Guilsfield Wales Championship North	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
18/04	Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
07/04	Gresford Ath Wales Championship North	0-0	1-0	8	3	W

Brickfield Rangers

WWWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Denbigh Town Wales Championship North	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	Caersws Wales Championship North	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
05/09	Guilsfield Wales Championship North	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
28/08	Bangor 1876 FC Wales Championship North	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
16/08	Gresford Ath Wales Championship North	1-0	5-0	8	4	W
08/08	Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
01/08	CPD Llanuwchllyn Wales Championship North	2-0	5-1	11	1	W
18/04	Holywell Town Wales Championship North	0-0	2-0	4	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rhyl vs Brickfield Rangers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brickfield Rangers win (45%). Probabilities: Rhyl 29%, draw 25%, Brickfield Rangers 45%.

How many goals are expected in Rhyl vs Brickfield Rangers?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Rhyl 1.24 · Brickfield Rangers 1.6), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Rhyl vs Brickfield Rangers?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.