Football · Wales Championship North · 12/09, 16:00
Prediction: Rhyl vs Buckley Town
Team pages: Rhyl · Buckley Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Rhyl2.01
Buckley Town1.46
1X2
Rhyl
Draw
Buckley Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Rhyl
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Buckley Town
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rhyl
6–0
Buckley Town
(6 last)
- Rhyl2-1Buckley Town
- Buckley Town1-2Rhyl
- Rhyl4-1Buckley Town
- Buckley Town0-2Rhyl
- Rhyl3-1Buckley Town
- Buckley Town2-5Rhyl
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rhyl 1488 · Buckley Town 1421
| Rhyl | Draw | Buckley Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 23% | 27% |
| Market | 50% | 23% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rhyl (rating 1488 vs 1421).
- H2H favours Rhyl: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rhyl | Buckley Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.3 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rhyl 6–0–0 Buckley Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/26 Wales Championship North | Rhyl | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Buckley Town |
| 20/12/25 Wales Championship North | Buckley Town | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Rhyl |
| 12/11/19 Wales Championship North | Rhyl | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Buckley Town |
| 03/08/19 Wales League Cup | Buckley Town | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Rhyl |
| 02/04/19 Wales Cymru Alliance | Rhyl | 3-1 | Buckley Town |
| 03/11/18 Wales Cymru Alliance | Buckley Town | 2-5 | Rhyl |
Standings · Wales Championship North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 2 | Newtown | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | Mold Alexandra | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Bala Town | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Bangor 1876 FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 13 |
| 6 | Caersws | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | Porthmadog | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 9 |
| 9 | CPD Llanuwchllyn | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
| 10 | Rhyl | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Buckley Town | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 7 |
| 12 | Denbigh Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 4 |
| 13 | Holyhead Hotspur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
| 14 | Ruthin Town FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 4 |
| 15 | Penrhyncoch | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 1 |
| 16 | Gresford Ath | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rhyl | Buckley Town |
|---|---|---|
| Denbigh Town | 3-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Caersws | 4-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Porthmadog | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Guilsfield | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Penrhyncoch | 0-3 L | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Buckley Town (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rhyl
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Bangor 1876 FC Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 31/08 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/08 | Bala Town Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Caersws Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Porthmadog Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 07/04 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/03 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
Buckley Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Caersws Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/08 | Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Porthmadog Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | CPD Llanuwchllyn Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North |
1-4 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | Caersws Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/04 | Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North |
0-4 | 0-6 | 7 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rhyl vs Buckley Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rhyl win (50%). Probabilities: Rhyl 50%, draw 23%, Buckley Town 27%.
How many goals are expected in Rhyl vs Buckley Town?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Rhyl 2.01 · Buckley Town 1.46), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Rhyl vs Buckley Town?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.