Football · Wales Championship North · 05/09, 15:30

Prediction: Brickfield Rangers vs Guilsfield

Team pages: Brickfield Rangers · Guilsfield

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

Brickfield Rangers1.93

Guilsfield1.49

1X2

47% 24% 29%

Brickfield Rangers Draw Guilsfield

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Brickfield Rangers 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWLW

Guilsfield 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWDDLW

Head-to-head

Brickfield Rangers 1–2 Guilsfield (3 last)

Brickfield Rangers2-1Guilsfield
Guilsfield4-1Brickfield Rangers
Guilsfield7-2Brickfield Rangers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brickfield Rangers 1577 · Guilsfield 1531

	Brickfield Rangers	Draw	Guilsfield
Our model	47%	24%	29%
Market	47%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brickfield Rangers (rating 1577 vs 1531).
H2H favours Guilsfield: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brickfield Rangers	Guilsfield
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.7	2.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.4	2.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.75

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:19 +22’	1.91	3.75	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brickfield Rangers 1–0–2 Guilsfield

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/03/26 Wales Championship North	Brickfield Rangers	2-1 HT 0-1	Guilsfield
27/09/25 Wales Championship North	Guilsfield	4-1 HT 3-1	Brickfield Rangers
01/11/23 Wales Cup	Guilsfield	7-2 HT 3-2	Brickfield Rangers

Standings · Wales Championship North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	6	5	0	1	17	4	15
2	Newtown	5	4	1	0	14	1	13
3	Mold Alexandra	6	4	1	1	12	6	13
4	Bangor 1876 FC	6	4	0	2	14	8	12
5	Bala Town	5	4	0	1	10	4	12
6	Porthmadog	6	3	2	1	11	9	11
7	Caersws	5	3	1	1	10	7	10
8	Guilsfield	6	2	3	1	12	9	9
9	Rhyl	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
10	CPD Llanuwchllyn	5	2	0	3	5	15	6
11	Holyhead Hotspur	5	1	1	3	7	9	4
12	Denbigh Town	6	1	1	4	11	14	4
13	Buckley Town	6	1	1	4	7	11	4
14	Ruthin Town FC	6	1	1	4	6	13	4
15	Penrhyncoch	5	0	1	4	3	16	1
16	Gresford Ath	5	0	0	5	0	14	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brickfield Rangers	Guilsfield
Ruthin Town FC	2-0 W	2-2 D
Penrhyncoch	2-0 W	4-0 W
Gresford Ath	5-0 W	4-0 W
Mold Alexandra	1-2 L	3-2 W
Buckley Town	6-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Brickfield Rangers (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brickfield Rangers

WWLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
28/08	Bangor 1876 FC Wales Championship North	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
16/08	Gresford Ath Wales Championship North	1-0	5-0	8	4	W
08/08	Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
01/08	CPD Llanuwchllyn Wales Championship North	2-0	5-1	11	1	W
18/04	Holywell Town Wales Championship North	0-0	2-0	4	1	W
11/04	Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
03/04	Buckley Town Wales Championship North	4-0	6-0	7	1	W
28/03	Flint Mountain FC Wales Championship North	1-0	2-1	0	7	W

Guilsfield

WLWWDWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
28/08	Buckley Town Wales Championship North	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
15/08	Newtown Wales Championship North	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
08/08	Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North	0-1	3-2	5	3	W
01/08	Rhyl Wales Championship North	0-1	1-1	0	4	D
18/04	Gresford Ath Wales Championship North	2-0	4-0	5	8	W
11/04	Caersws Wales Championship North	3-1	4-1	4	4	W
06/04	Llandudno Wales Championship North	1-2	1-4	2	3	L
03/04	Rhyl Wales Championship North	0-1	2-1	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brickfield Rangers vs Guilsfield?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brickfield Rangers win (47%). Probabilities: Brickfield Rangers 47%, draw 24%, Guilsfield 29%.

How many goals are expected in Brickfield Rangers vs Guilsfield?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Brickfield Rangers 1.93 · Guilsfield 1.49), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Brickfield Rangers vs Guilsfield?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.