Football · Portugal Primeira Liga · 15/08, 19:00
Prediction: Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara
Team pages: Academico Viseu · Santa Clara
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Academico Viseu1.11
Santa Clara1.33
1X2
Academico Viseu
Draw
Santa Clara
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Academico Viseu
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Santa Clara
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Academico Viseu
2–2–2
Santa Clara
(6 last)
- Academico Viseu1-1Santa Clara
- Santa Clara2-0Academico Viseu
- Santa Clara3-1Academico Viseu
- Academico Viseu2-1Santa Clara
- Santa Clara0-0Academico Viseu
- Academico Viseu2-1Santa Clara
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Academico Viseu 1525 · Santa Clara 1512
| Academico Viseu | Draw | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| Market | 30% | 29% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Academico Viseu | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.9 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Academico Viseu 2–2–2 Santa Clara
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/24 Portugal Segunda Liga | Academico Viseu | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Santa Clara |
| 06/10/23 Portugal Segunda Liga | Santa Clara | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Academico Viseu |
| 14/07/19 Europe Friendlies | Santa Clara | 3-1 | Academico Viseu |
| 12/05/18 Portugal Segunda Liga | Academico Viseu | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Santa Clara |
| 06/01/18 Portugal Segunda Liga | Santa Clara | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Academico Viseu |
| 26/03/17 Portugal Segunda Liga | Academico Viseu | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Santa Clara |
Standings · Portugal Primeira Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Maritimo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Sporting | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Guimaraes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Alverca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Academico Viseu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Benfica Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 02/08 | Chaves Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Varzim Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/04 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 17/04 | Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 04/04 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
Santa Clara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Nacional Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/07 | Moreirense Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | FC Porto Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 11/05 | Nacional Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Arouca Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Braga Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Casa Pia Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | Sporting Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 21/03 | Gil Vicente Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Santa Clara win (41%). Probabilities: Academico Viseu 30%, draw 29%, Santa Clara 41%.
How many goals are expected in Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Academico Viseu 1.11 · Santa Clara 1.33), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.