Football · Portugal Primeira Liga · 22/08, 21:30
Prediction: Sporting vs Alverca
Team pages: Sporting · Alverca
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Sporting2.48
Alverca0.94
1X2
Sporting
Draw
Alverca
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sporting
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Alverca
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sporting
3–1
Alverca
(4 last)
- Alverca1-4Sporting
- Sporting2-0Alverca
- Sporting5-1Alverca
- Alverca2-0Sporting
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting (rating 1626 vs 1450).
- H2H favours Sporting: 3-0-1.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sporting | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.5 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.7 | 2.8 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting 3–0–1 Alverca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Portugal Primeira Liga | Alverca | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Sporting |
| 31/10/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Sporting | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Alverca |
| 28/10/25 Portugal League Cup | Sporting | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Alverca |
| 17/10/19 Portugal Cup | Alverca | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sporting |
Standings · Portugal Primeira Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Sporting | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | Santa Clara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Maritimo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Famalicao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Academico Viseu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Guimaraes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sporting | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Rio Ave | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sporting (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sporting
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Guimaraes Portugal Primeira Liga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 08/08 | Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 31/07 | Nottm Forest Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Monaco Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/07 | Strasbourg Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 7-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Celtic Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | SCU Torreense Portugal Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 20 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Gil Vicente Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 11/05 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Guimaraes Portugal Primeira Liga |
3-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
Alverca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | FC Porto Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | CD Mafra Europe Friendlies |
– | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Famalicao Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | FC Porto Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Arouca Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Nacional Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Casa Pia Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 04/04 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sporting vs Alverca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting win (70%). Probabilities: Sporting 70%, draw 18%, Alverca 12%.
How many goals are expected in Sporting vs Alverca?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Sporting 2.48 · Alverca 0.94), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sporting vs Alverca?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.