Football · Portugal Primeira Liga · 07/11, 16:30

Prediction: Nacional vs Academico Viseu

Team pages: Nacional · Academico Viseu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Nacional1.17

Academico Viseu1.47

1X2

29% 28% 43%

Nacional Draw Academico Viseu

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Nacional 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLLLWL

Academico Viseu 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DLDLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Nacional 2–3–1 Academico Viseu (6 last)

Nacional1-1Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu1-1Nacional
Nacional3-2Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu1-1Nacional
Nacional1-2Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu1-4Nacional

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Academico Viseu (rating 1433 vs 1533).
H2H favours Nacional: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nacional	Academico Viseu
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.2	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	1.5 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 05:11

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.77 → 3.03▲	Pinn 3.03
X	3.26 → 3.37▲	Pinn 3.37
2	2.57 → 2.38▼	Pinn 2.38

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 4.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:16 +23’	2.77	3.26	2.57
20:17 +3’	2.79▲	3.29▲	2.60▲
22:01 +17’	2.95▲	3.29	2.47▼
04:50 +20’	3.03▲	3.37▲	2.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nacional 2–3–1 Academico Viseu

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/03/24 Portugal Segunda Liga	Nacional	1-1 HT 1-1	Academico Viseu
29/10/23 Portugal Segunda Liga	Academico Viseu	1-1 HT 1-1	Nacional
28/05/23 Portugal Segunda Liga	Nacional	3-2 HT 0-2	Academico Viseu
21/01/23 Portugal Segunda Liga	Academico Viseu	1-1 HT 1-1	Nacional
07/05/22 Portugal Segunda Liga	Nacional	1-2 HT 0-2	Academico Viseu
29/12/21 Portugal Segunda Liga	Academico Viseu	1-4 HT 1-3	Nacional

Standings · Portugal Primeira Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Porto	10	10	0	0	25	4	30
2	Benfica	9	7	1	1	26	8	22
3	Sporting	10	6	3	1	23	11	21
4	Santa Clara	10	6	3	1	15	6	21
5	Arouca	10	6	2	2	13	7	20
6	Academico Viseu	10	6	2	2	15	12	20
7	Gil Vicente	9	4	2	3	8	7	14
8	Moreirense	10	4	2	4	13	17	14
9	Braga	9	3	2	4	9	11	11
10	Alverca	9	3	2	4	13	13	11
11	Famalicao	9	2	4	3	14	11	10
12	Estrela	10	2	4	4	15	19	10
13	Guimaraes	9	2	2	5	10	10	8
14	Maritimo	10	2	2	6	9	21	8
15	Nacional	10	2	1	7	10	19	7
16	Rio Ave	10	2	1	7	9	23	7
17	Casa Pia	10	2	1	7	5	19	7
18	Estoril	10	0	2	8	5	19	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nacional	Academico Viseu
Rio Ave	2-3 L	2-1 W
Sporting	0-2 L	2-1 W
Estrela	2-3 L	2-0 W
Guimaraes	0-1 L	2-1 W
Estoril	2-0 W	2-1 W
Santa Clara	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Academico Viseu (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nacional

DWLLLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Arouca Portugal Primeira Liga	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
25/10	Braga Portugal Primeira Liga	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
11/10	Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga	1-1	2-3	8	4	L
19/09	Famalicao Portugal Primeira Liga	0-3	0-4	7	6	L
12/09	Alverca Portugal Primeira Liga	0-3	1-3	2	3	L
05/09	Sporting Portugal Primeira Liga	0-1	0-2	0	3	L
30/08	Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga	1-1	2-3	4	3	L
23/08	Guimaraes Portugal Primeira Liga	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
16/08	Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
10/08	Santa Clara Portugal Primeira Liga	2-2	2-2	4	4	D

Academico Viseu

DLDLWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
25/10	Sporting Portugal Primeira Liga	1-0	2-1	0	6	W
10/10	Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
20/09	Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
12/09	Guimaraes Portugal Primeira Liga	0-0	2-1	4	8	W
06/09	Gil Vicente Portugal Primeira Liga	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
29/08	FC Porto Portugal Primeira Liga	0-3	0-3	1	0	L
22/08	Maritimo Portugal Primeira Liga	2-0	2-2	5	8	D
15/08	Santa Clara Portugal Primeira Liga	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
09/08	Benfica Portugal Primeira Liga	0-1	2-2	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Academico Viseu win (43%). Probabilities: Nacional 29%, draw 28%, Academico Viseu 43%.

How many goals are expected in Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Nacional 1.17 · Academico Viseu 1.47), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nacional vs Academico Viseu?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.