Football · Portugal Primeira Liga · 08/11, 16:30
Prediction: Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente
Team pages: Santa Clara · Gil Vicente
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.96Total
Santa Clara1.11
Gil Vicente0.85
1X2
Santa Clara
Draw
Gil Vicente
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Santa Clara
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Gil Vicente
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santa Clara
4–2
Gil Vicente
(6 last)
- Santa Clara1-0Gil Vicente
- Gil Vicente1-0Santa Clara
- Gil Vicente0-1Santa Clara
- Santa Clara2-1Gil Vicente
- Santa Clara3-2Gil Vicente
- Gil Vicente1-0Santa Clara
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santa Clara 1570 · Gil Vicente 1496
| Santa Clara | Draw | Gil Vicente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 33% | 26% |
| Market | 42% | 30% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.96 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santa Clara (rating 1570 vs 1496).
- H2H favours Santa Clara: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santa Clara | Gil Vicente | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 1.2 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Clara 4–0–2 Gil Vicente
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Portugal Primeira Liga | Santa Clara | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gil Vicente |
| 03/11/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Gil Vicente | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Santa Clara |
| 15/03/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Gil Vicente | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Santa Clara |
| 25/10/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | Santa Clara | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Gil Vicente |
| 06/05/23 Portugal Primeira Liga | Santa Clara | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Gil Vicente |
| 29/12/22 Portugal Primeira Liga | Gil Vicente | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Santa Clara |
Standings · Portugal Primeira Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| 8 | Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicao | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 10 |
| 13 | Guimaraes | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 7 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 7 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 2 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santa Clara | Gil Vicente |
|---|---|---|
| Maritimo | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Benfica | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Casa Pia | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Braga | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Rio Ave | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Famalicao | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Academico Viseu | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Santa Clara (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santa Clara
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Maritimo Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 26/10 | Benfica Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 10/10 | Casa Pia Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | Braga Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Arouca Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Alverca Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Famalicao Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Academico Viseu Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Nacional Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
Gil Vicente
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Guimaraes Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 24/10 | FC Porto Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/10 | Braga Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 09/10 | Moreirense Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Maritimo Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Benfica Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Academico Viseu Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Famalicao Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/08 | Casa Pia Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Santa Clara win (41%). Probabilities: Santa Clara 41%, draw 32%, Gil Vicente 27%.
How many goals are expected in Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?
The model expects 1.96 goals (Santa Clara 1.11 · Gil Vicente 0.85), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.