Football · Portugal Primeira Liga · 07/11, 21:30
Prediction: Sporting vs Moreirense
Team pages: Sporting · Moreirense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Sporting2.17
Moreirense1.06
1X2
Sporting
Draw
Moreirense
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Sporting
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Moreirense
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sporting
5–1
Moreirense
(6 last)
- Moreirense0-3Sporting
- Sporting3-0Moreirense
- Sporting3-1Moreirense
- Moreirense2-1Sporting
- Moreirense0-2Sporting
- Sporting3-0Moreirense
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting (rating 1591 vs 1479).
- H2H favours Sporting: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sporting | Moreirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.2 | 1.2 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting 5–0–1 Moreirense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Portugal Primeira Liga | Moreirense | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Sporting |
| 22/09/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Sporting | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Moreirense |
| 18/04/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Sporting | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Moreirense |
| 05/12/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | Moreirense | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Sporting |
| 19/02/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | Moreirense | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Sporting |
| 17/09/23 Portugal Primeira Liga | Sporting | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Moreirense |
Standings · Portugal Primeira Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 14 |
| 9 | Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 10 |
| 13 | Guimaraes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 7 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 7 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sporting | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Braga | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Arouca | 2-2 D | 0-4 L |
| Guimaraes | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Estrela | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sporting (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sporting
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Casa Pia Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Academico Viseu Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 09/10 | Braga Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Arouca Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 13/09 | Famalicao Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Nacional Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
4-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Alverca Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Guimaraes Portugal Primeira Liga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 08/08 | Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
Moreirense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/10 | Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/10 | Gil Vicente Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | Guimaraes Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 14/09 | Maritimo Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/09 | Benfica Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 04/09 | FC Porto Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Casa Pia Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Arouca Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | Braga Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sporting vs Moreirense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting win (62%). Probabilities: Sporting 62%, draw 22%, Moreirense 17%.
How many goals are expected in Sporting vs Moreirense?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Sporting 2.17 · Moreirense 1.06), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sporting vs Moreirense?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.