Football · Portugal Primeira Liga · 16/08, 16:30
Prediction: Nacional vs Estoril
Team pages: Nacional · Estoril
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
Nacional1.41
Estoril0.79
1X2
Nacional
Draw
Estoril
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Nacional
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Estoril
0-5-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nacional
1–2–3
Estoril
(6 last)
- Nacional0-1Estoril
- Estoril1-1Nacional
- Nacional2-2Estoril
- Estoril1-0Nacional
- Nacional1-2Estoril
- Estoril1-2Nacional
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Estoril: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nacional | Estoril | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.8 | 1.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nacional 1–2–3 Estoril
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Portugal Primeira Liga | Nacional | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Estoril |
| 26/10/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Estoril | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Nacional |
| 15/02/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Nacional | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Estoril |
| 15/09/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | Estoril | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Nacional |
| 25/07/21 Portugal League Cup | Nacional | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Estoril |
| 14/12/19 Portugal Segunda Liga | Estoril | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Nacional |
Standings · Portugal Primeira Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Maritimo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Sporting | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Guimaraes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Alverca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nacional | Estoril |
|---|---|---|
| Alverca | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Benfica | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Famalicao | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nacional
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Maritimo Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/07 | Leganes Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Guimaraes Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 11/05 | Santa Clara Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | AVS Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Tondela Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Alverca Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Benfica Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 21/03 | Famalicao Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
Estoril
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Famalicao Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 31/07 | CF Os Belenenses Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | SCU Torreense Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Benfica Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Alverca Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Braga Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Famalicao Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 20/04 | Moreirense Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | FC Porto Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Arouca Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nacional vs Estoril?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nacional win (50%). Probabilities: Nacional 50%, draw 30%, Estoril 20%.
How many goals are expected in Nacional vs Estoril?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Nacional 1.41 · Estoril 0.79), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nacional vs Estoril?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.