Football · Portugal Primeira Liga · 15/08, 21:30
Prediction: Rio Ave vs FC Porto
Team pages: Rio Ave · FC Porto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Rio Ave1.12
FC Porto1.3
1X2
Rio Ave
Draw
FC Porto
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rio Ave
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
FC Porto
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rio Ave
0–2–4
FC Porto
(6 last)
- FC Porto1-0Rio Ave
- Rio Ave0-3FC Porto
- Rio Ave2-2FC Porto
- FC Porto2-0Rio Ave
- FC Porto0-0Rio Ave
- Rio Ave1-2FC Porto
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Porto (rating 1487 vs 1568).
- H2H favours FC Porto: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rio Ave | FC Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 3.3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rio Ave 0–2–4 FC Porto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Portugal Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Rio Ave |
| 19/09/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Rio Ave | 0-3 HT 0-2 | FC Porto |
| 03/02/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Rio Ave | 2-2 HT 1-0 | FC Porto |
| 24/08/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Rio Ave |
| 03/02/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rio Ave |
| 28/08/23 Portugal Primeira Liga | Rio Ave | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FC Porto |
Standings · Portugal Primeira Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Maritimo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | Sporting | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Guimaraes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rio Ave | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| Tondela | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Sporting | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Gil Vicente | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| AVS | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Santa Clara | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Alverca | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Estrela | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Rio Ave (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rio Ave
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Tondela Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Casa Pia Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 11/05 | Sporting Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Gil Vicente Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Guimaraes Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 17/04 | AVS Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Santa Clara Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Alverca Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
FC Porto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Alverca Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | SCU Torreense Portugal Super Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Aston Villa Elite Club Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Gil Vicente Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Santa Clara Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | AVS Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Alverca Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | Sporting Portugal Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Tondela Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rio Ave vs FC Porto?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Porto win (39%). Probabilities: Rio Ave 31%, draw 30%, FC Porto 39%.
How many goals are expected in Rio Ave vs FC Porto?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Rio Ave 1.12 · FC Porto 1.3), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rio Ave vs FC Porto?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.